Carlton vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2024
Last updated: May 8, 2024, 9:19AM | Published: May 6, 2024, 2:45AM
Carlton will face Melbourne in AFL Round 9 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Carlton vs Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Carlton vs Melbourne
Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Carlton-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Demons a 51% chance of winning against the Blues in Round 9 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Carlton vs Melbourne Simulated 10,000 Times
Carlton vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Carlton $2.16, Melbourne $1.85
- Line: Carlton +2.5 ($1.97), Melbourne -2.5 ($1.89)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $2.10, Under $1.82
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Carlton at $2.16 and Melbourne at $1.85.
The Blues are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Demons, with odds of $1.97 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Demons (-2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.89.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 165.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.10 and odds for the Under at $1.82.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (+2.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 165.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Carlton vs Melbourne: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Carlton at $2.16 with Betfair (6.4% edge) 🔥
- Line: Carlton +2.5 at $1.97 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 165.5 at $1.82 with Betfair (55% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.
Today's Carlton vs Melbourne predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Demons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our preferred option due to the 6.4% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
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Carlton vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday has Melbourne winning 81-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Carlton vs Melbourne on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Carlton vs Melbourne match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Carlton vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Blues and Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Melbourne
- Date: Thursday 9 May 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Carlton vs Melbourne predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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