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Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction and NBA Tips - 16 May 2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder will play the Dallas Mavericks in the 2024 NBA Playoffs at Paycom Center on Thursday, starting at 11:30am AEST.

Led by star players Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are up against a Mavericks team that includes Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Thunder vs Mavericks game, plus the latest betting odds and player props, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Thunder vs Mavericks

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Oklahoma City-Dallas NBA Playoffs match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Thunder a 66% chance of defeating the Mavericks at Paycom Center.

More: Thunder vs Mavericks Match Centre

Thunder vs Mavericks: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NBA game at Paycom Center are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Thunder $1.56, Mavericks $2.74
  • Line: Thunder -4.5 ($1.92), Mavericks +4.5 ($2.00)
  • Total (Over/Under 212.5 Points): Over $1.93, Under $2.02

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Thunder at $1.56 and the Mavericks at $2.74.

The Thunder are 4.5-point favourites against the Mavericks, with odds of $1.92 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Mavericks (+4.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 212.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.93 and odds for the Under at $2.02.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Thunder (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 212.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.

More: Live Scores for All Sports

Thunder vs Mavericks: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Oklahoma City at $1.56 with Betfair (66% probability)
  • Line: Thunder -4.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (51% probability)
  • Total Points: Under 212.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (51% probability)

Today's Thunder vs Mavericks predictions are based on complex simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Thunder vs Mavericks: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Mavericks at Paycom Center on Thursday has the Thunder winning 108-103.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Oklahoma City vs Dallas on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live scores.

Thunder vs Mavericks: Player Props

Player props are a great way to bet on Thunder vs Mavericks without necessarily betting on the outcome of Thursday's game itself.

Stats Insider has crunched the numbers to project individual points, assists and rebounds for each team.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 33 points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to have 32 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists for the Mavericks.

Thunder Projected Box Score

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 33 7 8
Jalen Williams 23 6 6
Chet Holmgren 21 10 4
Luguentz Dort 13 5 2
Aaron Wiggins 8 3 1

Mavericks Projected Box Score

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Luka Doncic 32 11 10
Kyrie Irving 26 6 6
P.J. Washington 16 8 2
Daniel Gafford 11 7 2
Dereck Lively 11 7 1

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Oklahoma City vs Dallas match-up at Paycom Center.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NBA game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Thunder vs Mavericks: Preview

The NBA game between the Thunder and Mavericks in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 11:30am AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our Oklahoma City vs Dallas predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NBA

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, tips for every NBA game, and futures probabilities for the NBA.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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