AFL Brownlow Medal 2021
(With Dead Heats)
The Stats Insider 2021 AFL Brownlow Medal predictions are here.
Our algorithm aims to identify the players who the umpires officiating that game would have selected as the best three players, and in which order.
When modelling the Brownlow Medal, the Stats Insider data analytics gather hundreds of data points from every AFL game between 2014-2020. This data is used to train a machine learning regression model on past votes to determine which variables were those most likely to catch the eye of the umpires, and thus correlate to Brownlow Medal votes for that game.
Stats Insider has previously modelled the 2019 and 2020 Brownlow Medals, releasing a free downloadable round-by-round breakdown for users to delve deep into the data. In 2021, Oliver Wines, Marcus Bontempelli and Clayton Oliver appear to be the front runners to take Charlie Home, followed by Jack Steele and Sam Walsh. Our users can access the early Brownlow predictions for the season along with a detailed report that's available as a free download. The report features our model's main contenders, team votes, probabilities of leading after rounds 5 and 10 as well as round-by-round data for each and every AFL match of season 2021.