The Easter Bunny is coming early to Club 20 this year with a basket of goodies for punters to enjoy including three  ‘Green Smiley’ NRL plays that the Stats Insider model loves in Round 4.

After nailing 1/1 last week (Panthers/Storm Unders), the model’s unbelievable 2021 NRL season now stands at 6/8 bets and 17/24 tips across the first three rounds of the season. 

Naturally, those of us who’ve been following the model from the start of the season will be enjoying our Darryl Lea chocolates whilst watching those of you who have not unwrap your shitty boiled lollies this easter. 

And it should really go without saying (but ill say it anyway) that as you chomp down on your crappy, Crazy Clarkes chocolate and/or languish at the bottom of your pub tipping comp, you have no one to blame but yourself.

This is all free data people, help us help you! 

The good news for those a little slow to catch on, is that the model likes not one, but THREE bets this week, so as we go through our tips with this weeks’ special guest tipster, be sure to watch out for our ‘Green Smiley Bet’ section, as these are the plays the SI model is especially fond of.

Speaking of guests, our tipster this week really puts the inverted commas on ‘special’. Many thought he would destroy the US economy and plunge us all into nuclear war but (amazingly) he did neither, instead focusing on (and largely succeeding at) decaying the concept of objective truth which sadly proved much easier to kill than many thought.

On that cheery note, it is a very good day to former US President and huge Titans fan Donald J Trump.

Sea Eagles v Panthers

Trump: Manly are so manly, I’ve heard a lot of people, everybody’s talking about it, Manly manly manly. They’re Manly, that’s what people are saying. And I agree. Iran. Rigged. Manly. 

Model: Panthers

Green Smiley Watch: Despite Tommy Turbo being a week away from his return, the model likes two plays in this game, spying some solid relative value for Manly in the H2H market, and loving the +19.5pt Line the Sea Eagles have been given (a very rare 14% edge). 

Bulldogs v Rabbitohs

Trump: I love that Jai Arrow guy, just grabs people anywhere, everywhere. Anything that moves, he grabs them, and they let him do it. I can’t believe low-energy Wayne doesn’t start him.

Model: Rabbits

Green Smiley Watch: 

Storm v Broncos

Trump: I have always admired the Storm, their tremendous ability to balance their books, I was bigly angry when they were forced to lose those premiership points a few years back, for nothing - the greatest team witch hunt in history. People have said it was actually Mexico and China who cheated? Go Storm. 

Model: Storm

Green Smiley Watch: The model likes the value about the Overs (42.5) in this game (7% edge).

Sharks v Cowboys

Trump: You’ve got to give it to the Cowboys, I know how hard it is to even walk with spurs let alone play football. I also feel for Bronson Xerri, who did nothing wrong and has been horribly mistreated by those fake news test results. 

Model: Sharks

Green Smiley Watch: 

Titans v Raiders

Trump: I was showing Scott my SCIF and he was talking about his Sharks playing the Tits last season during pending nuclear war with North Korea, and I said, Um, what? The Tits? Who are the Tits and how can I be their #1 supporter? Also, Alexander Brimson needs to pull his finger out or he’s fired!  

Model: Raiders

Green Smiley Watch: 

Knights v Dragons

Trump: Have you ever seen a more totally unfair, rigged game than the Knights last week? One minute they are winning, and then all of a sudden, magically, they aren’t. I called the Bunker to see if they could find me 5 more points but then the game ended. Rigged. 

Model: Knights

Green Smiley Watch: 

Roosters v Warriors

Trump: I really like Roger Covfefe-Sheck. I tweeted about him a few years ago. I also just like the word Roger. Roger. Tremendous word. Best word I’ve ever invented. Roger. 

Model: Roosters

Green Smiley Watch: 

Tigers v Eels

Trump: Any team that can stand by their Prime Minister and offer him a cold drink, against waves of totally fake news and false claims, can have a job on my 2024 transition team. Reed Mahoney, you will be hearing from us. 

Model: Eels

Green Smiley Watch: 

Thanks Donny for those insights. 

For those less inclined to listen to his tips (or anything he says really), be sure to make the Stats insider NRL Match Pages part of your pre-tipping and pre-punting routine. 

Markets are constantly adjusting so keep an eye out for more suggested bets as we look to improve on our 6/8, 17/24 start to 2021– the model runs every game 10,000 times and is constantly updating so don’t waste time listening to ‘experts’, harness the data and get amongst the amazing results so far this NRL season. 

If you have any suggestions as to who we can add to our Guest Tipsters for 2021, feel free to let us know over on our Club 20 twitter page.