Argentina World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets
Last updated: Dec 14, 2022, 10:36AM | Published: Nov 9, 2022, 12:01PMStats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that Argentina can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.
Argentina has been drawn in Group C of the World Cup 2022, with games against Poland, Mexico and Saudi Arabia determining whether they will make the knockout stage.
Argentina FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)
- Argentina vs Saudi Arabia: 22 November, 9:00PM
- Argentina vs Mexico: 27 November, 6:00AM
- Argentina vs Poland: 1 December, 6:00AM
Argentina has been in every World Cup since 1970, winning the tournament twice and finishing runner-up another two times over that run. The country's last win came in 1986 however, with Lionel Messi still looking for his first ever World Cup win.
Argentina World Cup Predictions
Messi's squad is one of the top five favourites to win the World Cup in 2022 with Stats Insider's model projecting Argentina as the winner in 8.8% of its simulations.
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Argentina’s Odds for World Cup 2022
Argentina is a 60.6% favourite to win Group C and has odds of 51.5% of making the quarterfinals, 31.1% of making the semifinals and 16.8% of making the final.
Argentina could be in for a tough round of 16 game with its most likely opponents being Denmark (40.6%) and France (37.7%). Brazil is Argentina's most likely semifinals opponent at 25.0%.
Stage of World Cup | SI Probability | Betfair Back Odds |
Overall winner | 8.8% | $7.20 |
Make the final | 16.8% | $4.50 |
Make the semi final | 31.1% | $2.68 |
Make the qtr final | 51.5% | $1.73 |
Make the round of 16 | 84.9% | $1.11 |
Win Group C | 60.6% | $1.45 |
Odds and probabilities correct as of November 10th.
Argentina World Cup 2022 Best Bets
Argentina's first World Cup 2022 game comes against Saudi Arabia, with our model projecting them as having a 77.5% win probability, meaning any odds of $1.30 or better would be a bet.
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Betting Tips For Argentina
At the time of writing, you can bet on the total goals to be under 2.5 in Argentina vs Saudi Arabia with a 3% edge on the market. Our implied fair odds at $2.10, whilst you can get $2.22 on the Betfair Exchange.
With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on France Argentina vs Saudi Arabia, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
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Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.