Belgium World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Nov 15, 2022, 2:44PM | Published: Nov 11, 2022, 9:42AM

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that Belgium can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.

Belgium has been drawn in Group F of the World Cup 2022, with games against Croatia, Morocco and Canada determining whether they will make the knockout stage.

Belgium FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)

Belgium vs Canada: 24 November, 6:00AM
Belgium vs Morocco: 28 November, 12:00AM
Belgium vs Croatia: 2 December, 2:00AM

Belgium enjoyed its best finish ever at the World Cup in 2018, winning the third place match against England in Russia. This squad has gone 3-0-0 in the group stage in each of its last two World Cup appearances.

Belgium World Cup Predictions

Stats Insider's model predicts that Belgium has a strong chance of winning its group for the third straight World Cup this year as a 51.3% favourite to do so.

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Belgium’s Odds for World Cup 2022

Belgium is projected to advance to the knockout stage 77.7% of the time, to the semifinals 23.7% of the time, and to win the 2022 World Cup 6.5% of the time.

Belgium will almost certainly face a big test in the round of 16 with its most likely opponents being Spain at 39.7% and Germany at 38.0%. Should Belgium make the semifinals, a match against France (21.5%) is the most likely matchup.

Stage of World Cup 2022	Stats Insider Probability	Best Betfair odds
Overall winner	6.5%	$19
Make the final	12.9%	$8.00
Make the semi final	23.7%	$3.90
Make the quarter final	43.2%	$2.12
Make the round of 16	77.7%	$1.16
Win Group F	51.3%	$1.67

Odds and probabilities correct as of November 11th.

Belgium World Cup 2022 Best Bets

Belgium's World Cup campaign begins with a game against Canada where they are favoured to win.

With a win probability of 70.2% probability, any odds of above $1.42 for Belguim to win would be a value bet.

MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview

Betting Tips For Belgium

At the time of writing, our model has not found any value on Belgium vs Canada, but there is value on Belgium to go all the way.

With a probability of 6.5% for Belgium to win the World Cup, we are getting a 1.2% edge on the $19 odds currently available with Betfair.

With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on Belgium vs Canada, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

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Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.