Germany World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Nov 15, 2022, 2:43PM | Published: Nov 10, 2022, 2:45PM

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that Germany can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.

Portugal has been drawn in Group E of the World Cup 2022, with games against Spain, Japan and Costa Rica determining whether they will make the knockout stage.

Germany FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)

Germany vs Japan: 24 November, 12:00AM
Germany vs Spain: 28 November, 6:00AM
Germany vs Costa Rica: 2 December, 6:00AM

Fresh off of winning the World Cup in 2014, Germany suffered a stunning group stage exit in 2018. Germany had finished third place or better in seven of its previous nine World Cups prior to that meltdown.

Germany World Cup Predictions

Stats Insider's model gives Germany a 78.9% chance of avoiding another group stage elimination in 2022 along with a 40.4% chance of winning Group E.

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Germany’s Odds for World Cup 2022

Germany has a 47.5% chance of making it to the quarterfinals, a 25.1% chance of getting to the semifinals and a 7.2% chance of winning the 2022 World Cup. Germany advanced to at least the quarterfinals every year from 1982 to 2014.

Germany's most likely opponent in the round of 16 is Belgium at 37.4%, and Brazil could be next at 32.6% to be Germany's quarterfinals opponent.

Stage of World Cup 2022	Stats Insider Probability	Best Betfair odds
Overall winner	7.2%	$12.50
Make the final	14.4%	$5.50
Make the semi final	25.1%	$3.25
Make the quarter final	47.5%	$1.78
Make the round of 16	78.9%	$1.15
Win Group E	40.4%	$2.14

Odds and probabilities correct as of November 11th.

Germany World Cup 2022 Best Bets

Germany begins its 2022 World Cup campaign against Japan, with the Stats Insider model projecting the 2014 champions as a 69.8% chance of starting with three points. This win probability means that odds of $1.44 or above would be value according to our model.

MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview

Betting Tips For Germany

For Germany's opening game against Japan, the best value bet to make right now is on the 'both teams to score' market with Betfair.

Our model's probability for the 'no' option on this bet is currently rated as a 53% chance of hitting, whilst the odds of $2.00 at Betfair equate to an implied probability of just 50%.

With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on Germany vs Japan, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

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Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.