Netherlands World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Nov 15, 2022, 2:42PM | Published: Nov 11, 2022, 10:04AM

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that the Netherlands can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.

Netherlands has been drawn in Group A of the World Cup 2022, with games against Senegal, Ecuador and Qatar determining whether they will make the knockout stage.

Netherlands FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)

Netherlands vs Senegal: 21 November, 3:00AM
Netherlands vs Ecuador: 26 November, 3:00AM
Netherlands vs Qatar: 30 November, 2:00AM

After finishing runner-up in the 2010 World Cup and in third place at the 2014 World Cup, the Netherlands stunned the football world by failing to qualify for the tournament in 2018. The Dutch are out to make an impact in their World Cup return in 2022.

Netherlands World Cup Predictions

The Netherlands are a clear favourite to win Group A at 60.7% to do so according to Stats Insider's models.

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Netherlands' Odds for World Cup 2022

The Netherlands is projected at 85.1% to advance into the knockout stage, 53.3% to make the quarterfinals, 13.7% to make the final and 6.9% to win it all.

The country's most likely stage of elimination is the round of 16 at 31.8% followed closely by the quarterfinals at 24.9%. When the Netherlands reaches the quarterfinals, it plays Argentina 34.0% of the time and France 23.1% of the time.

Stage of World Cup 2022	Stats Insider Probability	Best Betfair odds
Overall winner	6.9%	$16
Make the final	13.7%	$7.00
Make the semi final	28.4%	$3.60
Make the quarter final	53.3%	$1.78
Make the round of 16	85.1%	$1.15
Win Group A	60.7%	$1.54

Odds and probabilities correct as of November 11th.

Netherlands World Cup 2022 Best Bets

Netherland is projected as having a 58.8% win probability for its opening game against Senegal.

A 58.8% win probability equates to fair odds of $1.70, meaning anything higher would be good value.

MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview

Betting Tips For Netherlands

Although the Netherlands are the more likely team to win, the value play for their first match is to bet on Senegal head-to-head.

Senegal's win probability is 17.6%, meaning the implied fair odds are $5.68. You can currently get $7.20 on the Betfair Exchange.

With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on Belgium vs Canada, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

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Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.