Portugal World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Nov 15, 2022, 2:41PM | Published: Nov 10, 2022, 12:33PM

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that Portugal can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.

Portugal has been drawn in Group H of the World Cup 2022, with games against Uruguay, South Korea and Ghana determining whether they will make the knockout stage.

Portugal FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)

Portugal vs Ghana: 25 November, 3:00AM
Portugal vs Uruguay: 29 November, 6:00AM
Portugal vs South Korea: 3 December, 2:00AM

Portugal is making its sixth straight appearance in the World Cup after qualifying for the tournament only once from 1970 through 1998. Cristiano Ronaldo enters Qatar with 17 matches and seven goals for Portugal in his World Cup career.

Portugal World Cup Predictions

With a fairly favourable group draw in the group stage, Portugal has a 55.3% chance of winning Group H and an 83.1% chance of advancing into the round of 16 according to Stats Insider's model.

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Portugal’s Odds for World Cup 2022

Portugal is projected to make the quarterfinals in 46.7% of the model's simulations, the semifinals in 25.4%, and to win the tournament 7.5% of the time. The round of 16 is Portugal's most likely stage of elimination at 36.4%. This is in large part due to having a 37.5% chance of drawing Brazil in that round.

Stage of World Cup 2022	Stats Insider Probability	Best Betfair odds
Overall winner	7.5%	$17.50
Make the final	14.2%	$8.20
Make the semi final	25.4%	$3.90
Make the quarter final	46.7%	$2.00
Make the round of 16	83.1%	$1.16
Win Group H	55.3%	$1.80

Odds and probabilities correct as of November 11th.

Portugal World Cup 2022 Best Bets

Portugal's first game in Qatar comes against Ghana, with our model rating Cristiano Ronaldo's side as a 65.4% chance of winning. This win probability means that any odds of above $1.53 would be good value for punters.

MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview

Betting Tips For Portugal

Even though this preview is about Portugal, the best value in their opening game of the World Cup is on Ghana to win. At the time of writing, you can get $9.80 on Ghana head-to-head, with our fair odds down at $7.74.

Although Ghana winning has a low probability, the 3% edge we have on the market makes this a recommended long shot bet.

With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on Portugal vs Ghana, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

RELATED: Portugal vs Ghana Prediction

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Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.