Uruguay World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Nov 15, 2022, 2:40PM | Published: Nov 11, 2022, 12:06PM

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that Uruguay can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.

Uruguay has been drawn in Group H of the World Cup 2022, with games against Portugal, South Korea and Ghana determining whether they will make the knockout stage.

Uruguay FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)

Uruguay vs South Korea: 25 November, 12:00AM
Uruguay vs Portugal: 29 November, 6:00AM
Uruguay vs Ghana: 3 December, 2:00AM

Uruguay is making its fourth straight appearance in the World Cup this year in Qatar. This squad has made it out of the group stage in each of its last three World Cups, including a strong run to a fourth place finish in 2010.

Uruguay World Cup Predictions

Stats Insider's model gives Uruguay a 28.1% chance of winning Group H and a 63.8% chance of advancing into the round of 16, with Portugal being the group's biggest favourite to win at 55.3% and to advance at 83.1%.

RUN YOUR OWN: FIFA World Cup 2022 Simulator

Uruguay's Odds for World Cup 2022

Uruguay's odds of advancing into the quarterfinals drop to 28.4%, and its odds of
making the semifinals are projected at 12.4%.

The most likely opponents for Uruguay in the round of 16 are Brazil at 45.6% and Switzerland at 24.6%. Spain is Uruguay's most likely quarterfinals matchup at 25.8%.

Stage of World Cup 2022	Stats Insider Probability	Best Betfair odds
Overall winner	2.4%	$60
Make the final	5.7%	$23
Make the semi final	12.4%	$8.40
Make the quarter final	28.4%	$3.85
Make the round of 16	63.8%	$1.46
Win Group H	28.1%	$3.25

Odds and probabilities correct as of November 11th.

Uruguay World Cup 2022 Best Bets

Uruguay is the favourite against South Korea, with our model projecting them as having a 52.2% chance of winning.

Uruguay's win probability means that odds of $1.93 or better would be giving punters value.

MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview

Betting Tips For Uruguay

With Uruguay's head-to-head odds on the Betfair Exchange at $1.82, the value play is to take South Korea to win.

Our model's fair odds for an upset are $4.72, with $5.00 available to take.

With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on Uruguay vs South Korea, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

More World Cup Team Previews

More about World Cup 2022

Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.