World Cup 2022 Group D Predictions & Picks: France, Denmark, Australia & Tunisia

Last updated: Nov 21, 2022, 9:27AM | Published: Nov 16, 2022, 4:12PM

Using powerful predictive analytics, Stats Insider's team of data analysts has simulated Group D at the FIFA World Cup 2022 10,000 times to determine the probabilities and odds of France, Denmark, Australia and Tunisia making it to each stage of the tournament.

World Cup Group D Predictions & Odds

After winning the World Cup 2018, France is projected to win Group D with a probability of 59.6% bettering that of Denmark who have a 31.8% chance.

Tunisia and Australia are the next two teams in Group D, with probabilities of making the second round sitting at 19.5% for Tunisia and 17.5% for Australia.

Country	To Win Group C	To Advance From Group C
France	59.6%	88.1%
Denmark	31.8%	74.9%
Tunisia	4.6%	19.5%
Australia	4.0%	17.5%

Group D Prediction: France

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
France	$8.20	$8.40

After failing to qualify in both 1990 and 1994, France has made six straight World Cups, winning twice (1998 and 2018) and making the final one more occasion (2006). The reigning champions qualified for their seventh straight World Cup with relative ease, with five wins and three draws in their eight matches.

France has a 59.0% chance of making the quarter finals.
France has a 37.3% chance of making the semi finals.
France has a 21.0% chance of making the World Cup final.
France has a 11.6% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

Although they boast one of the most talented squads in the World Cup, France will not go far without top performance from Kylian Mbappe and Ballon D'or winner Karim Benzema.

For more information on Argentina's chances, check out our France World Cup 2022 Betting Preview.

Group C Prediction: Denmark

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Denmark	$36	$38

Denmark is set to appear at the World Cup for the sixth time in its history, having qualified with nine wins and one loss in its 10 games.

Denmark has a 38.3% chance of making the quarter finals.
Denmark has a 19.4% chance of making the semi finals.
Denmark has an 8.2% chance of making the World Cup final.
Denmark has a 3.5% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

With one of the most even squads named for the Qatar World Cup, the star man on paper for Denmark is Christian Eriksen, with young striker Yousef Poulsen another one to watch.

For more information on Denmark's chances, check out our Denmark World Cup 2022 Betting Preview.

Group D Prediction: Tunisia

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Tunisia	$1000	N/A

Tunisia is one of five CAF teams to have qualified for World Cup 2022, having taken down Mali 1-0 in their two-leg qualification match after flying through the group stage with four wins, one draw and one loss.

Tunisia has a 5.6% chance of making the quarter finals.
Tunisia has a 1.6% chance of making the semi finals.
Tunisia has a 0.5% chance of making the World Cup final.
Tunisia has a 0.1% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

With 24 goals across his time in the national team, Wahbi Khazri will again be the focal point of attack for Tunisia.

For more information on Tunisia's chances, check out our Tunisia World Cup 2022 Betting Preview.

Group D Prediction: Australia

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Australia	$550	$570

Appearing at its five straight World Cup after a 32-year absence between 1974 and 2006, Australia took the longest route possible to qualify for 2022. The Socceroos won just four of 10 games in the second stage of qualification, meaning they had to defeat both the UAE and Peru to make it to Qatar 2022.

Australia has a 4.9% chance of making the quarter finals.
Australia has a 1.3% chance of making the semi finals.
Australia has a 0.3% chance of making the World Cup final.
Australia has a 0.1% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

Australia's most important player at the World Cup this year will likely be goalkeeper Mathew Ryan, with recent Newcastle United signing Garang Kuol a prospect that should excite fans.

For more information on Australia's chances, check out our Australia World Cup 2022 Betting Preview.

Where to watch World Cup Group D in Australia (AEDT)?

Every Group D game at FIFA World Cup 2022 will be free to watch in Australia, with games on SBS and SBS Viceland. Make your free SBS account here.

Denmark vs Tunisia: 23 November, 12:00AM
France vs Australia: 23 November, 6:00AM
Tunisia vs Australia, 26 November, 9:00PM
Denmark vs France, 27 November, 3:00AM
Tunisia vs France, 1 December, 2:00AM
Australia vs Denmark, 1 December, 2:00AM

Where to bet on World Cup Group D?

If you're looking to bet on Group D at World Cup 2022 using the information above, the best place to do is with Betfair, where you can both back and lay every market featuring France, Denmark, Tunisia and Australia.

More World Cup 2022 Group Previews

All odds and probabilities correct as of 17 November, 2022.

(Photo by John Berry/Getty Images, Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.