World Cup 2022 Group E Predictions & Picks: Spain, Germany, Japan & Costa Rica

Last updated: Nov 17, 2022, 12:06PM | Published: Nov 16, 2022, 4:12PM

Using powerful predictive analytics, Stats Insider's team of data analysts has simulated Group E at the FIFA World Cup 2022 10,000 times to determine the probabilities and odds of Spain, Germany, Japan and Costa Rica making it to each stage of the tournament.

World Cup Group E Predictions & Odds

After simulating the action 10,000 times, our model suggests that there is a 90.8% probability that one of Spain or Germany finishes on top of Group E. Spain is the more likely team to win the group, with a 50.4% probability, whilst Germany is not far behind on 40.4%.

Country	To Win Group E	To Advance From Group E
Spain	50.4%	83.9%
Germany	40.4%	78.9%
Japan	6.9%	25.2%
Costa Rica	2.3%	12.1%

Group E Prediction: Spain

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Spain	$10	$10.50

Spain is set to appear a the World Cup for a 12th consecutive time after putting together a 6-1-1 record across its eight qualification games.

Spain has a 52.1% chance of making the quarter finals.
Spain has a 29.2% chance of making the semi finals.
Spain has a 16.5% chance of making the World Cup final.
Spain has an 8.7% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

Spain has a host of stars in its final squad for the World Cup, with Alvaro Morata and Rodri each set to play major roles.

For more information on Spain's chances, check out our Spain World Cup 2022 Betting Preview.

Group E Prediction: Germany

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Germany	$13	$13.50

The 2014 champions are back on the world stage for the 18th consecutive World Cup, having qualified with nine wins and one loss with six players scoring three or more goals across the campaign.

Germany has a 47.5% chance of making the quarter finals.
Germany has a 25.1% chance of making the semi finals.
Germany has a 14.4% chance of making the World Cup final.
Germany has a 7.2% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

With its eyes on another run into the final stage of the World Cup, Germany will be led by World Cup stalwart Thomas Muller and young star Jamal Musiala.

For more information on Germany's chances, check out our Germany World Cup 2022 Betting Preview.

Group E Prediction: Japan

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Japan	$480	$500

Japan had one of the most impressive World Cup 2022 qualification campaigns from any confederation, producing 15 wins, one draw and two losses across the two group stages.

Japan has an 8.6% chance of making the quarter finals.
Japan has a 2.7% chance of making the semi finals.
Japan has a 0.9% chance of making the World Cup final.
Japan has a 0.3% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

This Japan side has talent on both sides of the pitch with Arsenal defender Takehiro Tomiyasu set to lead the backline, whilst Daichi Kamada has scored 12 goals in 21 games for Eintracht Frankfurt this season already.

Group E Prediction: Costa Rica

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Costa Rica	$1000	N/A

Costa Rica's fourth place finish in CONCACAF qualification meant that they had to take down New Zealand to make the Qatar World Cup, winning that game 1-0.

Costa Rica has a 3.1% chance of making the quarter finals.
Costa Rica has a 0.8% chance of making the semi finals.
Costa Rica has a 0.2% chance of making the World Cup final.
Costa Rica has a 0.0% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

Goalkeeper Keylor Navas is the most famous name in this Costa Rica team, whilst Joel Campbell has scored 25 times for the national team.

Where to watch World Cup Group E in Australia (AEDT)?

Every Group E game at FIFA World Cup 2022 will be free to watch in Australia, with games on SBS and SBS Viceland. Make your free SBS account here.

Germany vs Japan: 24 November, 12:00AM
Spain vs Costa Rica: 24 November, 3:00AM
Japan vs Costa Rica: 27 November, 9:00PM
Spain vs Germany: 28 November, 6:00AM
Costa Rica vs Germany: 2 December, 6:00AM
Spain vs Japan: 2 December, 6:00AM

Where to bet on World Cup Group E?

If you're looking to bet on Group E at World Cup 2022 using the information above, the best place to do is with Betfair, where you can both back and lay every market featuring Spain, Germany, Japan and Costa Rica.

More World Cup 2022 Group Previews

All odds and probabilities correct as of 17 November, 2022.

(Photos by Robbie Jay Barratt - AMA/Getty Images, Roland Krivec/DeFodi Images via Getty Images)

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.