10,000 ways the Australian Open could play out
Jan 12, 2019, 5:54AM
There are 256 players - 128 men and 128 women - competing in the Australian Open, in what is expected to be a more 'open' playing field than previous years. With a bumper crop of new contenders entering the mix, the increased skill and athleticism of tennis is making it harder and harder to pick the winner of Grand Slams.
We like the challenge.
Over the last few months, we have been building our predictive tennis model, which pumps out the mathematical probabilities of a player winning a match, and several other market predictions, after running 10,000 simulations of the match. We do the same for our futures markets.
Enter our free Stats Insider Tournament Simulator.
The simulator is the best way to explore the underlying data that powers our tournament predictions, providing hours of entertainment, or possibly a bad case of RSI, while you try to work your way through 10,000 tournament outcomes.
SIMULATE THE MEN'S AUSTRALIAN OPEN DRAW
SIMULATE THE WOMEN'S AUSTRALIAN OPEN DRAW
RELATED: Stats Insider's Tennis World Rankings
How does it work?
Each time you click 'SIMULATE' we process our total current run of simulations of the entire Australian Open. The simulator runs through each round of the tournament, knocking out each player and halving the fields, all the way through to the 2019 Australian Open Finals.
Your job is to select the player whose Australian Open journey you want to simulate, then sit back and watch the simulator do it's thing. The tournament will simulate match-by-match, updated daily with real-life results.
What goes into a match simulation?
The basis for our all of our simulations is our proprietary algorithms. We take a range of inputs, including player-level rankings and court-type rankings, as well as information gleaned from the betting markets and trends, to amalgamate into performance projections for each player. From there, we run simulations of each match 10,000 times to form our projections for each match.
Each use of the Australian Open Simulator draws from one of our 10,000 simulations for its match results.
SIMULATE THE MEN'S AUSTRALIAN OPEN DRAW
SIMULATE THE WOMEN'S AUSTRALIAN OPEN DRAW
How often is it updated?
During the tournament itself, the simulation will regularly be updated with the results of each match, so you can run updated simulations throughout the entire Australian Open.
Is there more information on specific matches?
Match pages will launch on-site prior to the first games.
In the meantime, check out the simulator, read how we built our own brand new Stats Insider World Rankings.
READ: What is Stats Insider?
SIMULATE THE MEN'S AUSTRALIAN OPEN DRAW
SIMULATE THE WOMEN'S AUSTRALIAN OPEN DRAW
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