2019 FIFA Women's World Cup: R2 match projections
Last updated: Mar 4, 2021, 3:05AM | Published: Jun 12, 2019, 3:48AM
The 2019 FIFA Women's World Cup has kicked off in style with hosts France setting the tone for the tournament with a 4-0 win over South Korea in the opener. The first round of matches also saw Germany, Spain, Norway, Brazil, England and Canada getting the first win under their belt.
The Dutch and the Italians squeezed in late winners to get three points, while the United States of America proved why they’re the outright favourites to lift the World Cup with a resounding 13-0 thrashing of Thailand.
According to the Stats Insider model, the biggest loser after the first round of matches was Australia.
The Matildas went from 6.3% to a 2.1% chance of winning the World Cup and from 13.6% to 5.8% probability of making the final.
Speaking of, the Stats Insider model had a great first week in terms of match projections, correctly predicting 10/12 winners (83%) so far. As the tournament goes on, we will update our projections for the next round of matches, and also update actual results with a big tick (✔️) next to the result of each match.
RELATED: See our Round 1 Predictions
If this is your first time on Stats Insider, the percentage numbers next to each team below is the probability of that team winning the match. Likewise for a draw.
SIMULATOR: 10,000 Ways the Women's World Cup Could Play Out
Here are the Stats Insider win probabilities for the second round of group stage matches:
GROUP A
Nigeria v South Korea
Nigeria: 25.0 % ✔️
DRAW: 20.1%
South Korea: 55.0%
France v Norway
France: 55.0% ✔️
DRAW: 20.1%
Norway: 25%
GROUP B
Germany v Spain
Germany: 55.9% ✔️
DRAW: 19.7%
Spain: 24.4%
South Africa v China
South Africa: 10.8%
DRAW: 14.6%
China: 74.7% ✔️
GROUP C
Australia v Brazil
Australia: 38.7% ✔️
DRAW: 22.5%
Brazil: 38.7%
RELATED: Can Australia actually win the World Cup?
Jamaica v Italy
Jamaica: 23.8.
DRAW: 18.9%
Italy: 57.3% ✔️
GROUP D
Japan v Scotland
Japan: 69.4% ✔️
DRAW: 15.0%
Scotland: 15.6%
England v Argentina
England: 90.0% ✔️
DRAW: 6.3%
Argentina: 3.6%
GROUP E
Netherlands v Cameroon
Netherlands: 85.3% ✔️
DRAW: 8.3%
Cameroon: 6.4%
Canada v New Zealand
Canada: 49.7% ✔️
DRAW: 20.2%
New Zealand: 30.1%
READ: The 5 outside chances to cause a World Cup upset
GROUP F
Sweden v Thailand
Sweden: 93.1% ✔️
DRAW: 5.4%
Thailand: 1.5%
United States v Chile
United States: 93.5% ✔️
DRAW: 5.0%
Chile: 1.5%
Fingers crossed, and #TrustTheModel as always! If you're having a bet during the Women's World Cup, remember to always gamble responsibly.
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