Two match rounds into the 2019 FIFA Women’s World Cup and the top teams are beginning to show their class to move ahead of the pack. Some others however, are left scrapping for the final spots in the Round of 16, and this last round of matches will decide their fate. 

France, Germany, Italy, England and the Dutch have all had perfect starts with two wins from two games two so far. Canada, Sweden and the tournament favourite, USA, have six points as well, with the American women boasting an incredible goal difference of +16, mainly due to a 13-0 thrashing of Thailand.

The Matildas heroically came back from a 2-0 deficit to eventually win 3-2 against Brazil to put their World Cup campaign back on track. The Australian girls showed serious fighting spirit to reinstate why they think they are a chance to win this World Cup.

This final round of matches will decide the fate of most teams, and more importantly, help teams navigate the potentially tougher Round of 16 matches.

As the tournament goes on, we will update our projections for the next round of matches, and also update actual results with a big tick (✔️) next to the result of each match.

RELATED: See our Round 1 Predictions

RELATED: See our Round 2 Predictions

If this is your first time on Stats Insider, the percentage number next to each team below is the probability of that team winning the match. Likewise for a draw.

SIMULATOR: 10,000 Ways the Women's World Cup Could Play Out

Here are the Stats Insider win probabilities for the second round of group stage matches:

GROUP A

NIGERIA V FRANCE

Nigeria: 6.4 % 

DRAW: 8.3%

France: 85.3%

SOUTH KOREA V NORWAY

South Korea: 22.0% 

DRAW: 18.0%

Norway: 60.0%

GROUP B

CHINA V SPAIN

China: 30.1% 

DRAW: 20.2%

Spain: 49.7%

SOUTH AFRICA V GERMANY

South Africa: 3.6%

DRAW: 6.3%

Germany: 90.1%

GROUP C

ITALY V BRAZIL

Italy: 38.1%

DRAW: 22.5%

Brazil: 39.4%

JAMAICA V AUSTRALIA

Jamaica: 10.3%.

DRAW: 12.4%

Australia: 77.3%

GROUP D

JAPAN V ENGLAND

Japan: 32.1%

DRAW: 20.0%

England: 47.9%

SCOTLAND V ARGENTINA

Scotland: 55.0%

DRAW: 20.0%

Argentina: 25.0%

GROUP E

NETHERLANDS V CANADA

Netherlands: 42.0%

DRAW: 21.8%

Canada: 36.2%

CAMEROON V NEW ZEALAND

Cameroon: 17.1%

DRAW: 15.6%

New Zealand: 67.3%

GROUP F

SWEDEN V UNITED STATES

Sweden: 15.6%

DRAW: 15.0%

United States: 69.4%

THAILAND V CHILE

Thailand: 22.0%

DRAW: 18.0%

Chile: 60.0%

Fingers crossed, and #TrustTheModel as always! If you're having a bet during the Women's World Cup, remember to always gamble responsibly.

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