2023 NRL Fixture Analysis: Why the Broncos and Raiders Are Your Best Bets
Last updated: Feb 28, 2023, 11:23PM | Published: Feb 28, 2023, 11:20PM
Stats Insider has released its NRL Schedule Difficulty for the 2023 season, with the Broncos and the Raiders standing out from the pack.
According to Stats Insider's predictive analytics model, the Broncos have the toughest NRL fixture this year, while the Raiders have a favourable run that could set them up for a return to the finals.
The Broncos' 2023 season begins with games against reigning premiers Penrith and the team our model gives a 46.1% chance to make the top four, the Cowboys.
The assessment of the Broncos' schedule aligns with Stats Insider's NRL Futures model, which gives Brisbane just a 37.1% chance of making the 2023 NRL finals. That makes the $2.00 on offer at BlueBet for the Broncos to miss the top eight a suggested bet.
The outlook is a lot more positive for the Raiders, who finished in eighth place last year and have the easiest schedule in the NRL this year based on our model.
In the first month of the season, Ricky Stuart's team plays games against the newly formed Dolphins and the Knights, who we think are the third-most likely team to lose the most games in 2023.
Our NRL futures model has the Raiders with a 57.3% chance of making the top eight, meaning the $2.00 on offer at BlueBet for Canberra to play in the finals in 2023 is also a suggested bet.
MORE: Stats Insider's Full Schedule Difficulty for the 2023 NRL Season
How Is Stats Insider's Schedule Difficulty Calculated?
Stats Insider's NRL Schedule Difficulty is based on trusted data and computer power to grade how easy or difficult the upcoming games are for each team.
The overall schedule difficulty, which looks at the remaining matches each team has for the season, continues to evolve as the year progresses.
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