49ers vs Patriots Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2024
Last updated: Sep 29, 2024, 8:05PM | Published: Sep 22, 2024, 8:10PM
The San Francisco 49ers will take on the New England Patriots in NFL Week 4 action at Levi's Stadium on Monday, commencing at 6:05am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the 49ers vs Patriots game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's San Francisco vs New England NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the 49ers an 83% chance of beating the Patriots at Levi's Stadium.
49ers vs Patriots: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Levi's Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: 49ers $1.17, Patriots $5.25
- Line: 49ers -10.5 ($1.91), Patriots +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the 49ers at $1.17 and the Patriots at $5.25.
The 49ers are 10.5-point favourites against the Patriots, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Patriots (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Patriots (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 42-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
49ers vs Patriots: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: San Francisco at $1.17 with Bet365
- Line: Patriots +10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 42 at $1.91 with Bet365
49ers vs Patriots: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for 49ers vs Patriots at Levi's Stadium in Week 4 is the 49ers winning 25-15.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the San Francisco vs New England game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth 49ers vs Patriots prediction.
49ers vs Patriots: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in 49ers vs Patriots? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, San Francisco's Jordan Mason is the most likely player to score the first TD in 49ers vs Patriots.
Mason has a 14.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Levi's Stadium, while the 49ers RB has a 53.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
49ers First TD Tips
- Jordan Mason: 14.4% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 10.2% probability
- Brandon Aiyuk: 9.2% probability
- George Kittle: 8.4% probability
- Jauan Jennings: 7.6% probability
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.9% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 5.0% probability
- Hunter Henry: 4.6% probability
- Jacoby Brissett: 4.0% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 3.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
49ers Anytime TD Tips
- Jordan Mason: 53.6% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 40.9% probability
- Brandon Aiyuk: 38.4% probability
- George Kittle: 34.4% probability
- Jauan Jennings: 32.6% probability
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 40.4% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 22.6% probability
- Hunter Henry: 20.9% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 17.3% probability
- Jacoby Brissett: 16.9% probability
49ers-Patriots Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the 49ers' Brock Purdy is projected for 269 passing yards, while the Patriots' Jacoby Brissett is expected to throw for 188 yards.
49ers Starting QB
- Brock Purdy: 269 projected passing yards
Patriots Starting QB
- Jacoby Brissett: 188 projected passing yards
49ers Rushing Yards
- Jordan Mason: 83 projected yards
- Isaac Guerendo: 15 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 11 projected yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 66 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 25 projected yards
- Jacoby Brissett: 14 projected yards
49ers Receiving Yards
- Brandon Aiyuk: 68 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 62 projected yards
- George Kittle: 52 projected yards
- Jauan Jennings: 44 projected yards
- Jordan Mason: 12 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- DeMario Douglas: 37 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 32 projected yards
- Ja'Lynn Polk: 26 projected yards
- K.J. Osborn: 22 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 18 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the San Francisco vs New England game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
49ers vs Patriots: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the 49ers and Patriots at Levi's Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:05am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots
- Date: Monday 30 September 2024
- Time: 6:05am AEST
- Venue: Levi's Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our San Francisco vs New England predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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