Adelaide vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 5, 2025
Apr 7, 2025, 6:20AM
Adelaide will face Geelong in AFL Round 5 action at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Adelaide vs Geelong game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Adelaide vs Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Crows a 64% chance of beating the Cats in Round 5 of the 2025 AFL season.
Adelaide vs Geelong: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.45, Geelong $2.85
- Line: Adelaide -14.5 ($1.91), Geelong +14.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 181.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $1.45 and Geelong at $2.85.
The Crows are 14.5-point favourites against the Cats, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cats (+14.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 181.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (+14.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 181.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Adelaide vs Geelong: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $2.85 with Bet365
- Line: Geelong +14.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 181.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Adelaide vs Geelong best bets are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Crows have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cats to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Adelaide vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Geelong at Adelaide Oval this Thursday is Adelaide winning 94-84.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Adelaide vs Geelong match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Adelaide vs Geelong game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Geelong: Essential Details
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Crows and Cats at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs Geelong predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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