Adelaide vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2024
Last updated: Jul 28, 2024, 6:01AM | Published: Jul 21, 2024, 10:37AM![](https://imgix.cosmicjs.com/4814c7b0-474d-11ef-b2ab-a7025a5e5e5f-AFL_2024_20_ADE_HAW.png?w=750)
Adelaide will face Hawthorn in AFL Round 20 action at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, starting at 4:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Adelaide vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 51% chance of defeating the Crows at Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown below:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $2.02, Hawthorn $1.96
- Line: Adelaide +2.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn -2.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $2.08
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Adelaide at $2.02 and Hawthorn at $1.96.
The Crows are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Betfair.
For the favourite Hawks (-2.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.00.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 164.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.90 for the over and $2.08 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Crows (+2.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 164.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.96 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Line: Adelaide +2.5 at $1.91 with Betfair (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 164.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (51% probability)
Stats Insider's Adelaide vs Hawthorn predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval this Sunday is Hawthorn winning 82-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Adelaide vs Hawthorn match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Searching for Adelaide vs Hawthorn goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Taylor Walker is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs Hawthorn.
Walker has a 7.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Crows star has a 90.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 7.4% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 6.5% probability
- Josh Rachele: 4.3% probability
- Ben Keays: 4.0% probability
- Elliott Himmelberg: 3.4% probability
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 6.0% probability
- Mabior Chol: 5.6% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 5.5% probability
- Nick Watson: 5.1% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.3% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 90.0% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 83.7% probability
- Josh Rachele: 69.7% probability
- Ben Keays: 68.8% probability
- Elliott Himmelberg: 62.2% probability
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 82.5% probability
- Mabior Chol: 79.9% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 78.5% probability
- Nick Watson: 77.7% probability
- Dylan Moore: 70.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Adelaide vs Hawthorn match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Crows and Hawks at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 4:10pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Adelaide vs Hawthorn predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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