Adelaide vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 13, 2024

Last updated: Jun 6, 2024, 9:02AM | Published: Jun 2, 2024, 11:53AM

Adelaide will face Richmond in AFL Round 13 action at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Adelaide vs Richmond game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Adelaide vs Richmond

Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Adelaide-Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Crows an 82% chance of beating the Tigers in Round 13 of the 2024 AFL season.

More: Adelaide vs Richmond Simulated 10K Times

Adelaide vs Richmond: Odds

The latest betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown below:

Head to Head: Adelaide $1.30, Richmond $4.20
Line: Adelaide -27.5 ($2.10), Richmond +27.5 ($1.89)
Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $2.06, Under $1.91

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Adelaide at $1.30 and Richmond at $4.20.

The Crows are listed as 27.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $2.10 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Tigers (+27.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.89.

The over/under for total points scored has been set at 166.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.06 and odds for the under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+27.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 166.5 points has a 52% chance of staying Under.

More: Predictions for Every AFL Game

Adelaide vs Richmond: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.30 with Betfair (82% probability) 🔥
Line: Richmond +27.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (53% probability)
Total Points: Over 166.5 at $2.06 with Betfair

When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.

Our Adelaide vs Richmond best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 166.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.06) that are available from Betfair.

Adelaide vs Richmond: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Richmond at Adelaide Oval on Thursday has Adelaide winning 95-70.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Adelaide vs Richmond on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Adelaide vs Richmond: Goal Scorers

Searching for Adelaide vs Richmond goalscorer tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Darcy Fogarty is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs Richmond.

Fogarty has a 10.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Crows star has a 95.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

Adelaide

Darcy Fogarty: 10.8% probability
Josh Rachele: 6.5% probability
Ben Keays: 6.4% probability
Chris Burgess: 5.3% probability
Lachlan Murphy: 3.4% probability

Richmond

Shai Bolton: 6.2% probability
Noah Cumberland: 4.6% probability
Jacob Koschitzke: 4.0% probability
Tim Taranto: 3.1% probability
Liam Baker: 2.7% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

Adelaide

Darcy Fogarty: 95.8% probability
Josh Rachele: 85.6% probability
Ben Keays: 84.2% probability
Chris Burgess: 77.0% probability
Lachlan Murphy: 62.7% probability

Richmond

Shai Bolton: 83.2% probability
Noah Cumberland: 73.6% probability
Jacob Koschitzke: 69.0% probability
Tim Taranto: 55.0% probability
Liam Baker: 52.0% probability

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Adelaide vs Richmond match at Adelaide Oval.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Adelaide vs Richmond: Preview

The AFL Round 13 clash between the Crows and Tigers at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.

Teams: Adelaide vs Richmond
Date: Thursday 6 June 2024
Time: 7:30pm AEST
Venue: Adelaide Oval

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Our Adelaide vs Richmond predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.