Adelaide vs St Kilda: Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2023
May 7, 2023, 11:03AM
Adelaide faces St Kilda in AFL Round 9 action at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, commencing at 1:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Adelaide vs St Kilda, as well as the latest betting odds, are featured in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 9, 2023
Who Will Win: Adelaide vs St Kilda
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Adelaide-St Kilda AFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Crows a 59% chance of beating the Saints at Adelaide Oval.
More: Adelaide vs St Kilda Simulated 10K Times
Adelaide vs St Kilda: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed here:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.65, St Kilda $2.52
- Line: Adelaide -6.5 ($1.84), St Kilda +6.5 ($2.14)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $1.74, Under $2.26
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Adelaide to win at $1.65 and St Kilda to win at $2.52.
The Crows are 6.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.84 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Saints (+6.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.14.
The Over/Under for Adelaide vs St Kilda sits at 160.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.74 and odds for the Under at $2.26.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both Adelaide and St Kilda have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The Over/Under total of 160.5 points has a 53% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Adelaide vs St Kilda: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $2.52 with Betfair (1.5% edge)
- Line: St Kilda +6.5 at $2.14 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 160.5 at $2.26 with Betfair (2.9% edge)
Today's Adelaide vs St Kilda best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Crows have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our preferred option because of the 1.5% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the Betfair odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 160.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.26) that are available from Betfair.
Adelaide vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs St Kilda at Adelaide Oval this Sunday has Adelaide winning 84-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Adelaide vs St Kilda on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Adelaide vs St Kilda match at Adelaide Oval.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Adelaide vs St Kilda: Preview
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Crows and Saints at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
- Game: Adelaide vs St Kilda
- Date: Sunday 14 May 2023
- Time: 1:10pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Adelaide vs St Kilda are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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