AFL Best Bets and Multi for Finals Week 1, 2022
Last updated: Sep 5, 2022, 3:10AM | Published: Sep 2, 2022, 6:11AM
The opening week of the 2022 AFL Finals are here, and we have AFL predictions and AFL betting tips to help guide you through the action.
After simulating every AFL Finals game this week 10,000 times, we've found the best bets to make on a big week of footy.
As Australia's leading predictive analytics site, Stats Insider has AFL best bets, betting odds, and predictions featured here every week of the AFL Finals with this week's betting tips showcased below.
MORE: AFL Expert Tips for Finals Week 1, 2022
AFL Finals Best Bets, Week 1
Sydney +12.5 at $1.91
Our first bet of the weekend is for Sydney to cover the line against Melbourne, with the Dees currently favoured by 12.5 points.
In the debut of our new video series The Edge, Jayden Collins highlighted the fact that Sydney have won 10 of their last 12 clashes against Melbourne, with the likelihood of them covering the line this week at 51% according to the model.
BlueBet have this bet at $1.91 as we look to start the weekend with a win.
Melbourne vs Sydney is at the MCG on Friday, September 2 at 7:50pm AEST.
MORE: Who To Tip in the AFL This Week
Welcome to The Edge, where we use the power of predictive analytics to find three bets and a multi for this weekend's #AFLFinals action.
— Stats Insider (@StatsInsider) September 2, 2022
Presented by @BlueBetAu. pic.twitter.com/5oR8ZcihBW
Joel Selwood 20+ disposals at $1.55
With 20+ disposals in 14/18 games so far this season, we're taking Geelong captain Joel Selwood to reach that number again on Saturday afternoon.
Our predictive analytics model has Selwood getting 23 disposals against Collingwood, which would see us hit this bet with relative ease.
Geelong vs Collingwood is at the MCG on Saturday, September 3 at 4:35pm AEST.
MORE: AFL 2022 Premiership Probabilities
Andrew Brayshaw 25+ disposals at $1.40
Our final bet of the weekend of AFL is for the 2022 AFLPA MVP Andrew Brayshaw to record 25+ disposals for Fremantle on Saturday night.
Brayshaw has averaged 29.1 disposals this season, and with our model projecting him for 26 this week, we are expecting this bet to be a pretty comfortable ride for punters.
Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, September 3 at 8:10pm AEST.
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AFL Multi for This Weekend
If you're looking for some more action on the footy this weekend, then an AFL multi bet based on our model's AFL predictions is the way to go.
- Sydney +12.5 ($1.91)
- Joel Selwood 20+ disposals ($1.55)
- Andrew Brayshaw 25+ disposals ($1.40)
- Multi odds = $4.12
Multi odds via BlueBet are subject to change.
AFL Goal Scorer Bets
Looking for more AFL anytime goal scorer bets to take in an AFL multi this weekend? Here is a full list of the players presenting value in Week 1 of the finals, according to our model.
| Player | Our Fair Odds | BlueBet Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Petracca (MEL) | $1.35 | $1.40 |
| Jeremy Cameron (GEE) | $1.11 | $1.20 |
| Brody Mihocek (COL) | $1.17 | $1.50 |
| Will Brodie (FRE) | $2.83 | $3.00 |
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
