AFL Multi Tips and Best Bets for Preliminary Finals 2022
Last updated: Sep 16, 2022, 4:27AM | Published: Sep 13, 2022, 11:19PM
The penultimate week of the 2022 AFL finals is here, and we have AFL odds and AFL betting tips to help guide you through this weekend's preliminary finals.
We've found the best bets to make on both Geelong vs Brisbane and Sydney vs Collingwood, thanks to simulating this week's AFL prelim finals 10,000 times each.
As Australia's leading predictive analytics site, Stats Insider has AFL best bets, betting odds, and predictions for every week of the AFL finals, with this week's AFL betting tips showcased below.
MORE: AFL Expert Tips for Prelim Finals 2022
AFL Preliminary Final Best Bets
Brisbane Lions +21.5 at $1.90
After taking down Melbourne and their MCG hoodoo in the process, Brisbane again looks good to reward punters, with our model picking the Lions to cover the line.
In a game where both sides were missing some key players, Geelong beat Brisbane by 10 points earlier this season, highlighting the evenness of the match-up.
Our projections have Brisbane as a 53% chance of covering, making the implied fair odds $1.87. You can get some nice value at BlueBet, who are offering $1.90.
MORE: AFL 2022 Premiership Probabilities
Geelong vs Brisbane is at the MCG on Friday, September 16 at 7:50pm AEST.
Sydney to Win at $1.40
After going to the MCG and taking down the reigning premiers two weeks ago, Sydney is now favoured to win its preliminary final against Collingwood, and our model agrees.
Sydney took down Collingwood by 27 points at the SCG last month and is now projected as a 73% chance of winning its way through to the AFL grand final.
At a 73% probability, our fair odds for Sydney to win are $1.38, with BlueBet giving us a slight edge with $1.40 on offer.
Sydney vs Collingwood is at the SCG on Saturday, September 10 at 7:25pm AEST.
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AFL Multi for This Weekend
If you're looking for some more action on the footy this weekend, then an AFL multi bet based on our model's AFL predictions is the way to go.
- Brisbane to cover +21.5 ($1.90)
- Sydney to win ($1.40)
- Multi odds = $2.66
Multi odds via BlueBet are subject to change.
AFL Goal Scorer Bets
On the search for more AFL anytime goal scorer bets to take in an AFL multi this weekend? Here is a list of players presenting value in preliminary final week of the 2022 finals, according to our model.
| Player | Our Fair Odds | BlueBet Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brad Close (GEE) | $1.54 | $1.65 |
| Gryan Miers (GEE) | $1.74 | $1.90 |
| Joe Daniher (BRI) | $1.23 | $1.25 |
| Cam Rayner (BRI) | $1.63 | $1.65 |
| Chad Warner (SYD) | $1.58 | $1.85 |
| James Rowbottom (SYD) | $2.34 | $3.00 |
| Jack Ginnivan (COL) | $1.36 | $1.40 |
| Mason Cox (COL) | $2.26 | $2.50 |
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
