AFL Best Bets and Multi for Round 17, 2022
Last updated: Jul 8, 2022, 6:49AM | Published: Jul 8, 2022, 6:47AM
Round 17 of the AFL season is here, and we have AFL predictions and AFL betting tips to help guide you through the weekend.
We've found the best bets to make on a big week of footy, thanks to simulating every Round 17 AFL game 10,000 times.
As Australia's leader in sports analytics, Stats Insider features AFL predictions, tips and betting odds throughout the season, with our AFL Round 17 betting tips highlighted below.
MORE: AFL Expert Tips for Round 17 2022
AFL Betting Tips Round 17
Mason Cox Anytime Goal at $2.30
Collingwood big man Mason Cox may be averaging less than a goal per game for the first time in his career this season, but a matchup with North Melbourne should prove the perfect opportunity for him to get on the board.
Even in the wet up on the Gold Coast last week, Cox was targeted five times inside 50, which if repeated should at least result in a shot or two on goal this Saturday.
Our fair odds for Cox to kick a goal this week are $1.38, with TAB offering the best of the bookies at $2.30.
Collingwood vs North Melbourne is at the MCG on Saturday, July 9 at 1:45pm AEST.
MORE: AFL 2022 Premiership Probabilities
Michael Walters Anytime Goal at $1.69
With eight goals in his last seven games, Fremantle's Michael Walters appears to be getting back to his goal-kicking best after a slow start to 2022.
A Walters goal is a great starting point for your AFL same-game multi this weekend, with our model projecting him as a 70.1% chance of kicking at least one.
That 70.1% probability makes our fair odds $1.43, while TopSport has the best available odds at $1.69.
St Kilda vs Fremantle is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 9 at 7:25pm AEST.
RELATED: AFL Player Ratings
GWS Giants +15.5 at $1.91
Port Adelaide plays host to the Giants this week, with GWS +15.5 looking like a bet according to our model.
After simulating Port vs GWS 10,000 times, we have the Giants to cover the line as a 57% probability.
Our fair odds for a line of +15.5 are $1.77, making the $1.91 at bet365 the play here.
Port Adelaide vs GWS Giants is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, July 9 at 7:30pm AEST.
MORE: Best Bets for Every AFL Game
AFL Multi Tips for Round 17
If you're looking to up the ante on your footy betting this weekend, then an AFL multi bet based on our model's AFL predictions is the way to go.
- Mason Cox anytime goal ($2.05)
- Michael Walters anytime goal ($1.60)
- GWS Giants +15.5 ($1.90)
- Multi odds = $6.23
Multi odds via TAB are subject to change.
Round 17 AFL Goal Scorers
Looking for more AFL anytime goal scorer bets to take in an AFL SGM? Here is a full list of the players presenting value in Round 17, according to our model.
| Player | Fair Odds | Best Odds | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Warner (SYD) | $1.82 | $2.30 | TAB |
| Mason Cox (COL) | $1.38 | $2.05 | TAB |
| Jason Castagna (RIC) | $1.38 | $1.68 | TopSport |
| Jade Gresham (STK) | $1.36 | $1.77 | TopSport |
| Michael Walters (FRE) | $1.43 | $1.69 | TopSport |
| Daniel Lloyd (GWS) | $1.49 | $1.80 | Neds |
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
