AFL Best Bets and Multi for Round 18, 2022
Last updated: Jul 16, 2022, 12:04AM | Published: Jul 15, 2022, 5:09AM
Stats Insider has AFL predictions and AFL best bets for Round 18 of the AFL season.
After simulating every Round 18 AFL game 10,000 times, we have AFL betting tips for a big weekend of footy.
As Australia's leading sports analytics site, Stats Insider features AFL predictions, tips and betting odds every week, with our AFL Round 18 betting tips highlighted below.
MORE: AFL Expert Tips for Round 18 2022
AFL Best Bets Round 18
Josh Carmichael Anytime Goal at $1.90
After kicking 0.2 on debut last week, Josh Carmichael should find himself with another chance or two to kick his first AFL goal against the Crows.
Carmichael was picked in the mid-season draft before impressing in the VFL recently, and also kicked nine goals in eight games for Sturt in the SANFL this year.
The best odds available for Carmichael to kick one are $1.80 with Sportsbet, whilst our fair odds are $1.59.
Adelaide vs Collingwood is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, July 16 at 1:45pm AEST.
MORE: AFL 2022 Premiership Probabilities
Brad Close Anytime Goal at $1.80
With much of the attention on Jeremy Cameron, Tom Hawkins and Tyson Stengle, Brad Close's goal kicking numbers this season have gone unnoticed by some.
Close has kicked at least one in each of his last seven games to take his total to 17 goals in 16 games this season, including four in four at the MCG.
Our fair odds for a Brad Close anytime goal this week are $1.62, with the $1.80 at TAB the best available for punters.
Carlton vs Geelong is at the MCG on Saturday, July 16 at 7:25pm AEST.
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Tom Mitchell Anytime Goal at $3.50
Hawks midfilder Tom Mitchell rounds out our bets for AFL Round 18, and it's not for him to have 40 disposals!
According to our model, Mitchell is presenting big value to kick a goal this week, with coach Sam Mitchell opting to play the Brownlow medalist on a half forward flank more and more often of late.
Our fair odds for Tom Mitchell to kick a goal this week are $1.84, whilst Pointsbet have odds of $3.50.
Hawthorn vs West Coast is at the MCG on Sunday, July 17 at 1:10pm AEST.
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AFL Multi for Round 18
If you're looking for some more action on the footy this weekend, then an AFL multi bet based on our model's AFL predictions is the way to go.
- Josh Carmichael anytime goal ($1.90)
- Brad Close anytime goal ($1.80)
- Tom Mitchell anytime goal ($3.50)
- Multi odds = $11.97
Multi odds via Pointsbet are subject to change.
Round 18 AFL Goal Scorers
Looking for more AFL anytime goal scorer bets to take in an AFL SGM? Here is a full list of the players presenting value in Round 18, according to our model.
| Player | Fair Odds | Best Odds | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Steele (STK) | $2.54 | $3.25 | Neds |
| Mason Wood (STK) | $2.12 | $2.67 | TopSport |
| Josh Carmichael (COL) | $1.59 | $1.90 | Sportsbet |
| Ben Keays (ADE) | $2.05 | $2.65 | Neds |
| Daniel Lloyd (GWS) | $1.43 | $1.77 | TopSport |
| Phoenix Spicer (NME) | $2.02 | $2.50 | TAB |
| Brad Close (GEE) | $1.62 | $1.80 | TAB |
| Isaac Smith (GEE) | $2.21 | $2.77 | TopSport |
| Will Hayward (SYD) | $1.35 | $1.55 | TopSport |
| Tom Mitchell (HAW) | $1.84 | $3.50 | Pointsbet |
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
