AFL Best Bets and Multi for Round 20, 2022
Last updated: Jul 29, 2022, 4:24AM | Published: Jul 29, 2022, 4:21AM
If you're looking for AFL predictions and AFL best bets for Round 19 of the 2022 AFL season, you've come to the right place.
After simulating every Round 19 AFL game 10,000 times each to find where value lies for punters, our AFL betting tips are below .
Stats Insider, Australia's leading sports analytics site, features AFL predictions, tips and betting odds every week, with our AFL Round 20 betting tips highlighted below.
For reference, our Round 19 AFL bets went 3/3, with the $4.89 hitting for those that tailed.
MORE: AFL Expert Tips for Round 20 2022
AFL Best Bets Round 20
Alex Neal-Bullen anytime goal at $3.05
This best value anytime goal kicker bet to make on Friday night footy this weel is on Alex Neal-Bullen.
The Melbourne forward has been inaccurate (5.12) for most of the season but after kicking three goals in his last five games and 1.0 last week, our model is projecting him as a 52.26% chance of kicking one this week.
That 52.26% probability makes the fair odds for an Alex Neal-Bullen goal $1.91, with Neds the pick of the bookies offering $3.05.
Fremantle vs Melbourne is at Optus Stadium on Friday, July 27 at 8:10pm AEST.
MORE: Who To Tip in the AFL This Week
Hawthorn +6.5 at $1.91
After simulating this game 10,000 times, our model suggests that it is a genuine 50-50, with Hawthorn and St Kilda almost impossible to split.
So with the Saints favoured by 6.5 points by the bookies, the smart play here is to be to take the in-form Hawks to at least keep it within a goal.
Our fair odds for Hawthorn +6.5 are $1.70, with the best odds coming from bet365 at $1.91.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 30 at 4:35pm AEST.
MORE: AFL 2022 Premiership Probabilities
Gryan Miers Anytime Goal at $1.93
Geelong's Gryan Miers has been tough to make predictions on for much of this season, but with a goal in each of his last two games and one or more shot in each of his last six, his half forward role appears to be becoming clearer.
Miers grabbed seven of his 20 disposals in the forward 50 last week, showing that he should get an opportunity or two to kick one against the Bulldogs.
Our fair odds for a Gryan Miers goal are $1.61, with the best bookie odds coming from TopSport who have it at $1.93.
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, July 30 at 7:25pm AEST.
RELATED: AFL Player Ratings
AFL Multi for Round 20
If you're looking for some more action on the footy this weekend, then an AFL multi bet based on our model's AFL predictions is the way to go.
- Alex Neal-Bullen anytime goal ($3.05)
- Hawthorn +6.5 ($1.90)
- Gryan Miers anytime goal ($1.80)
- Multi odds = $10.43
Multi odds via Ladbrokes are subject to change.
Round 20 AFL Goal Scorers
Looking for more AFL anytime goal scorer bets to take in an AFL SGM? Here is a full list of the players presenting value in Round 20, according to our model.
| Player | Fair Odds | Best Odds | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Neal-Bullen (MEL) | $1.91 | $3.05 | Neds |
| Tom Sparrow (MEL) | $2.36 | $3.05 | Ladbrokes |
| Clayton Oliver (MEL) | $2.65 | $4.00 | TopSport |
| Andrew Brayshaw (FRE) | $2.47 | $3.05 | Sportsbet |
| Will Brodie (FRE) | $2.92 | $3.60 | Pointsbet |
| Patrick Lipinski (COL) | $2.16 | $2.95 | TopSport |
| Gryan Miers (GEE) | $1.61 | $1.93 | TopSport |
| Isaac Smith (GEE) | $1.86 | $2.70 | TopSport |
| Lachlan Murphy (ADE) | $1.71 | $1.90 | Neds |
| Lochie O'Brien (CAR) | $2.29 | $3.05 | Ladbrokes |
| Curtis Taylor (NME) | $2.43 | $2.85 | Neds |
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
