AFL Best Bets and Multi for Round 21, 2022
Last updated: Aug 5, 2022, 4:29AM | Published: Aug 5, 2022, 4:15AM
Round 21 of the AFL season is here, and we have AFL predictions and AFL best bets to help guide you through the weekend.
After simulating every Round 21 AFL game 10,000 times, we've found the best bets to make on a big week of footy.
As Australia's leading sports data provider, Stats Insider has AFL best bets, betting odds, and predictions featured here every single week of the AFL season, with AFL Round 21 betting tips showcased below.
MORE: AFL Expert Tips for Round 21 2022
AFL Best Bets Round 21
Hawthorn head-to-head at $1.92
Despite the Suns being slight betting favourites for this matchup in Launceston, our model is favouring Hawthorn to win.
The Hawks have been in decent form of late, winning three of their last four by 25+ points and almost coming back to beat St Kilda last weekend.
Our fair odds for Hawthorn to defeat the Gold Coast are $1.83, with the best odds of $1.92 coming from TopSport.
Hawthorn vs Gold Coast is at the University of Tasmania Stadium on Saturday, August 6 at 1:45pm AEST.
MORE: Who To Tip in the AFL This Week
Western Bulldogs -12.5 at $1.91
The Bulldogs have won seven of their last 11 (two of the losses were against Geelong) and are starting to look like a dangerous September side once again.
Fremantle on the other hand have now failed to win in their last three games and appear to be sliding at an unfortunate time.
With the Bulldogs in form and our model projecting them as a 73% chance of winning this week, our bet for this one is Western Bulldogs -12.5 meaning they need to win by 13+.
Our implied fair odds for this bet are $1.79, making the $1.91 on offer at bet365 look like a smart bet.
Western Bulldogs vs Fremantle is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, August 6 at 4:35pm AEST.
MORE: AFL 2022 Premiership Probabilities
Isaac Smith Anytime Goal at $2.75
After starting the season slow on a goal scoring front, Geelong's Isaac Smith has now kicked a goal in five of his last seven, with his anytime goal odds consistently above $2.
With Geelong back on their home ground and our model projecting them to win by 33 points against St Kilda, we could see a lot of individual goal kickers for the Cats this week.
Despite the Saints winning the last time these two teams played, Smith was still able to find the scoreboard, kicking 1.1 at Marvel Stadium.
Our fair odds for an Isaac Smith anytime goal this week are $1.81, whilst the best odds available are from Pointsbet at $2.75.
Geelong vs St Kilda is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, August 6 at 7:25pm AEST.
RELATED: AFL Player Ratings
AFL Multi for Round 21
If you're looking for some more action on the footy this weekend, then an AFL multi bet based on our model's AFL predictions is the way to go.
- Hawthorn head-to-head ($1.90)
- Western Bulldogs -12.5 ($1.74)
- Isaac Smith anytime goal ($1.48)
- Multi odds = $9.93
Multi odds via Pointsbet are subject to change.
Round 21 AFL Goal Scorers
Looking for more AFL anytime goal scorer bets to take in as singles or in a multi? Here is a full list of the players presenting value in Round 21, according to our model.
| Player | Fair Odds | Best Odds | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Ainsworth (GCS) | $1.24 | $1.48 | TopSport |
| Ben Hobbs (ESS) | $1.91 | $2.45 | Neds |
| Brad Close (GEE) | $1.29 | $1.51 | TopSport |
| Gryan Miers (GEE) | $1.51 | $1.80 | Ladbrokes |
| Isaac Smith (GEE) | $1.81 | $2.75 | Pointsbet |
| Sam Powell-Pepper (POR) | $1.25 | $1.50 | Pointsbet |
| Noah Balta (RICH) | $1.93 | $2.45 | Neds |
| Jaidyn Stephenson (NME) | $2.30 | $2.90 | Sportsbet |
| Cam Rayner (RIC) | $1.41 | $1.57 | Ladbrokes |
| Jamie Cripps (WCE) | $1.32 | $1.43 | Sportsbet |
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
