AFL Best Bets and Odds for Round 15, 2023

Last updated: Jun 25, 2023, 10:36AM | Published: Jun 22, 2023, 3:36AM

Round 15 of the 2023 AFL season is here, and we have AFL best bets and AFL odds for the upcoming weekend.

Here at Stats Insider, we have simulated every Round 15 AFL game 10,000 times to find the best value for AFL punters this weekend.

After going through our AFL best bets and AFL betting odds, our data-driven predictive analytics model has found the best AFL betting tips for Round 15.

MORE: AFL Best Bets

AFL Bets and Odds: Round 15

Geelong to Defeat Melbourne at $1.89

Geelong hosts Melbourne to kick off Round 15 of the 2023 AFL season on Thursday night at GMHBA Stadium.

Last week, Geelong was defeated by Port Adelaide 72-110, while Melbourne had its mid-season bye.

Our AFL predictive model believes the Cats should be valued at $1.81 to win, and with Betfair posting $1.89 odds, one of our best AFL bets this weekend is Geelong to defeat Melbourne.

Geelong vs Melbourne is at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday, June 22 at 7:20pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Fremantle to Defeat Essendon at $1.75

Fremantle hosts Essendon at Optus Stadium on Saturday night.

Last week, Fremantle lost to GWS 36-106, while Essendon comes into this game after its Round 14 bye.

Our AFL predictive model values the Dockers at $1.59, and with Betfair offering $1.75, Fremantle to defeat Essendon is one of the best AFL bets of Round 15.

Fremantle vs Essendon is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, June 24 at 7:25pm.

Hawthorn +23.5 Against Gold Coast at $1.92

Gold Coast takes on Hawthorn on Sunday afternoon.

In Round 14, Gold Coast was defeated by Carlton 61-120, while Hawthorn had the bye.

Our AFL predictive model believes the Hawks are overvalued by Betfair at the line, which makes Hawthorn +23.5 against Gold Coast one of the AFL best bets for Round 15.

Gold Coast vs Hawthorn is at Metricon Stadium on Sunday, June 25 at 4:40pm.

AFL Best Bets Round 15, 2023

Our three AFL best bets of the weekend are selected after 10,000 simulations of each game in Round 15.

Geelong to Defeat Melbourne at $1.88
Fremantle to Defeat Essendon at $1.75
Hawthorn +23.5 Against Gold Coast at $1.92

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.

If you decide to use our AFL betting tips for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Todd Davey

Todd Davey is a seasoned journalist and passionate sports fan with a strong interest in the AFL, NBA, and NRL. He has amassed valuable experience through his roles at The Canberra Times, Buddybet, Bets.com.au, and HorseBetting.com.au. With a commitment to delivering trustworthy and current information, Todd is a highly regarded source in Australia for engaging sports content and insightful analysis.