AFL Best Bets and Odds for Round 10, 2023

Last updated: May 21, 2023, 10:37PM | Published: May 19, 2023, 2:04AM

Round 10 of the 2023 AFL season is here, and we have AFL best bets and AFL odds for the weekend ahead.

Here at Stats Insider, we have simulated every Round 10 AFL game 10,000 times to find the best value for footy punters this weekend.

After going through our AFL best bets and AFL betting odds, our data-driven predictive analytics model has found the best AFL betting tips for Round 10.

MORE: AFL Best Bets

AFL Bets and Odds Round 10

Port Adelaide vs Melbourne Under 163.5 Total Points at $1.91

Port Adelaide and Melbourne kick off Round 10 of the 2023 AFL season on Friday night at Adelaide Oval.

Last round, the Power defeated North Melbourne 135-65, while the Demons were too good for Hawthorn, winning by 54 points.

Our AFL predictive model believes the total points line staying below 163.5 is the more probable outcome, and with Betfair posting $1.91 odds, Port Adelaide vs Melbourne Under 163.5 Total Points is one of our AFL best bets this weekend.

Port Adelaide vs Melbourne is at Adelaide Oval on Friday, May 19 at 7:50pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Western Bulldogs to Defeat Adelaide at $1.59

The Western Bulldogs meet Adelaide at Mars Stadium in Ballarat on Saturday afternoon.

Last week, the Bulldogs defeated Carlton 79-59, while the Crows recorded a 52-point win over St Kilda.

Our AFL predictive model believes the Bulldogs are overvalued by Betfair to beat the Crows, which makes the Western Bulldogs to defeat Adelaide one of our AFL best bets for Round 10.

Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide is at Mars Stadium on Saturday, May 20 at 2:10pm.

Hawthorn to Defeat West Coast at $1.33

Hawthorn plays West Coast at the University of Tasmania Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

In Round 9, the Hawks were beaten by Melbourne 49-103, while the Eagles were defeated by Gold Coast 43-113.

Stats Insider's AFL predictive model values the Hawks at $1.16 to beat the Eagles, and with Betfair offering $1.33, Hawthorn to defeat West Coast is one of our best AFL bets of Round 10.

Hawthorn vs West Coast is at the University of Tasmania Stadium on Sunday, May 21 at 1:10pm.

MORE: 2023 AFL Schedule Difficulty

AFL Best Bets Round 10, 2023

Our three AFL best bets of the weekend are selected after 10,000 simulations of each game in Round 10.

Port Adelaide vs Melbourne Under Total Score 163.5 at $1.91
Western Bulldogs to Defeat Adelaide at $1.59
Hawthorn to Defeat West Coast at $1.33

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

The AFL will celebrate the annual Sir Doug Nicholls Round during Round 10 of the 2023 AFL Season. Three AFL clubs will adopt traditional in-language names for the first time. Melbourne will be referred to as 'Narrm,' Fremantle will change its name to 'Walyalup,' and Port Adelaide will be known as 'Yartapuulti' during the 2023 Sir Doug Nicholls Round.

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If you decide to use our AFL betting tips for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Todd Davey

Todd Davey is a seasoned journalist and passionate sports fan with a strong interest in the AFL, NBA, and NRL. He has amassed valuable experience through his roles at The Canberra Times, Buddybet, Bets.com.au, and HorseBetting.com.au. With a commitment to delivering trustworthy and current information, Todd is a highly regarded source in Australia for engaging sports content and insightful analysis.