AFL Best Bets for Round 6, 2023
Last updated: Apr 28, 2023, 2:14AM | Published: Apr 21, 2023, 2:16AM
Round 6 of the 2023 AFL season is here, and we have AFL predictions and the AFL best bets for the weekend.
At Stats Insider, we have simulated every Round 6 AFL game 10,000 times to find value for punters this weekend.
After going through our AFL best bets, AFL odds, and AFL predictions, our data-driven model has provided the best AFL betting tips for Round 6.
AFL Bets and Odds, Round 6
West Coast (+51.5) line bet against Port Adelaide at $1.98
West Coast travel to Adelaide to face Port Adelaide on Saturday afternoon.
The Eagles are coming off a 136-89 loss to the Cats last week, but covered the line as one of our AFL best bets. Port Adelaide recorded a 4-point win over the Western Bulldogs at home, their second consecutive single digit win.
Our AFL predictive model values the Eagles at the line as a $1.77 prospect, but with Betfair posting $1.91 odds, West Coast at the line is one of our AFL best bets this weekend.
Port Adelaide vs West Coast is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, April 22 at 1:45pm AEST.
GWS (+25.5) Line Bet Against Brisbane at $1.87
GWS hosts Brisbane at Manuka Oval in Canberra with both teams coming off wins.
The Giants won 77-75 against Hawthorn in Round 5, while the Lions recorded the largest margin of the weekend, defeating the Kangaroos by 75 points.
Our AFL predictive model has identified the GWS line bet of +25.5 as one of the AFL best bets for Round 6.
GWS vs Brisbane is at Manuka Oval on Saturday, April 22 at 4:35pm AEST.
MORE: 2023 AFL Schedule Difficulty
Sydney (+16.5) Line Bet Against Geelong at $1.91
The 2022 AFL Grand Final rematch sees Sydney traveling to Geelong to take on the Cats.
The Swans defeated the Tigers 122-78 last Friday night, while the Cats recorded their second win of the season with a 47-point victory over the Eagles.
Our AFL predictive model has the Swans rated at $1.80 to cover Saturday night's line, which makes Betfair's price on Sydney to cover the line against Geelong one of the AFL best bets for Round 6.
Geelong vs Sydney is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, April 22 at 7:25pm AEST.
RELATED: AFL Tips for This Weekend - Round 6, 2023
AFL Best Bets Round 6, 2023
Our three AFL best bets of the weekend are selected after 10,000 simulations of every game of Round 6.
- West Coast (+51.5) line bet against Port Adelaide - $1.98
- GWS (+25.5) line bet against Brisbane - $1.87
- Sydney (+16.5) line bet against Geelong - $1.91
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
