AFL Best Bets for Round 7, 2023

Last updated: May 5, 2023, 1:36AM | Published: Apr 28, 2023, 1:11AM

Round 7 of the 2023 AFL season is here, and we have AFL predictions and the AFL best bets for the weekend.

At Stats Insider, we have simulated every Round 7 AFL game 10,000 times to find value for punters this weekend.

After going through our AFL best bets, AFL odds, and AFL predictions, our data-driven model has provided the best AFL betting tips for Round 7.

AFL Bets and Odds, Round 7

St Kilda to Defeat Port Adelaide at $1.55

St Kilda and Port Adelaide kick off Round 7 of the AFL season on Friday night.

The Saints maintained their spot on top of the ladder with a 22-point victory over Carlton, while the Power easily accounted for the Eagles 109-69.

Our AFL predictive model values St Kilda as a $1.45 prospect, but with Betfair posting $1.55 odds, St Kilda to Defeat Port Adelaide is one of our AFL best bets this weekend.

St Kilda vs Port Adelaide is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, April 28 at 7:50pm AEST.

Sydney vs GWS Total Points Over 149.5 at $1.98

The battle of the bridge is on Saturday afternoon with Sydney hosting GWS at the SCG.

The Swans suffered their heaviest defeat in over a decade, losing to Geelong 37-130, while GWS went down to the Lions by 21 points.

Our AFL model believes the line here for the game is lower than it should be, which makes the Sydney vs GWS total points over 149.5 as one of the AFL best bets for Round 7.

Sydney vs GWS is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, April 29 at 2:10pm AEST.

MORE: 2023 AFL Schedule Difficulty

Hawthorn (+27.5) line bet against Western Bulldogs at $1.90

Hawthorn meet the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The Hawks lost 76-79 against the Crows last week, while the Bulldogs defeated Fremantle by 49 pointson Thursday night.

Our AFL predictive model rates the Hawks line bet as as $1.74 prospect, and with Betfair posting $1.90 odds, Hawthorn to cover the line against the Western Bulldogs is one of the AFL best bets for Round 7.

Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, April 29 at 4:35pm AEST.

AFL Best Bets Round 7, 2023

Our three AFL best bets of the weekend are selected after 10,000 simulations of every game of Round 7.

St Kilda to defeat Port Adelaide - $1.55
Sydney vs GWS total points over 149.5 - $1.98
Hawthorn (+27.5) line bet against Western Bulldogs - $1.90

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Todd Davey

Todd Davey is a seasoned journalist and passionate sports fan with a strong interest in the AFL, NBA, and NRL. He has amassed valuable experience through his roles at The Canberra Times, Buddybet, Bets.com.au, and HorseBetting.com.au. With a commitment to delivering trustworthy and current information, Todd is a highly regarded source in Australia for engaging sports content and insightful analysis.