AFL Best Bets for Round 8, 2023

Last updated: May 7, 2023, 8:47AM | Published: May 5, 2023, 1:56AM

Round 8 of the 2023 AFL season is here, and we have AFL predictions and the AFL best bets for the weekend.

At Stats Insider, we have simulated every Round 8 AFL game 10,000 times to find value for punters this weekend.

After going through our AFL best bets, AFL odds, and AFL predictions, our data-driven model has provided the best AFL betting tips for Round 8.

AFL Bets and Odds, Round 8

Carlton vs Brisbane Total Points Under 174.5 at $1.88

Carlton vs Brisbane is the first match of Round 8 of the AFL season.

The Lions defeated Fremantle 115-67 in Round 7, while Carlton easily accounted for West Coast 152-44.

Our AFL predictive model values the total game score as under 174.5 points at $1.68, but with Betfair posting $1.88 odds, Carlton vs Brisbane total points under 174.5 is one of our AFL best bets this weekend.

Carlton vs Brisbane is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, May 5 at 7:50pm.

Richmond To Defeat West Coast at $1.11

Richmond face West Coast on Saturday afternoon at the MCG.

Richmond lost in Round 7 to Gold Coast 48-72 while West Coast were defeated by 108 points at home to Carlton.

Our AFL predictive model believes the Tigers are undervalued by Betfair, which makes the Richmond to defeat West Coast one of our AFL best bets for Round 8.

Richmond vs West Coast is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, May 6 at 1:45pm.

MORE: 2023 AFL Schedule Difficulty

Melbourne To Defeat Gold Coast at $1.41

Melbourne face off against Gold Coast at Metricon Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The Demons top our AFL Futures premiership probabilities and fresh off a 90-point win over North Melbourne, they'll be a tough match up for the Gold Coast.

Our AFL predictive model rates the Demons as a $1.28 prospect, and with Betfair posting $1.41 odds, Melbourne to defeat Gold Coast as one of the AFL best bets for Round 8.

Gold Coast vs Melbourne is at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, May 6 at 4:35pm.

AFL Best Bets Round 8, 2023

Our three AFL best bets of the weekend are selected after 10,000 simulations of every game of Round 8.

Carlton vs Brisbane Total Points Under 174.5 at $1.88
Richmond to defeat West Coast at $1.11
Melbourne to defeat Gold Coast at $1.41

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Todd Davey

Todd Davey is a seasoned journalist and passionate sports fan with a strong interest in the AFL, NBA, and NRL. He has amassed valuable experience through his roles at The Canberra Times, Buddybet, Bets.com.au, and HorseBetting.com.au. With a commitment to delivering trustworthy and current information, Todd is a highly regarded source in Australia for engaging sports content and insightful analysis.