AFL Betting Tips and Multi for Round 14, 2022
Jun 17, 2022, 5:33AM
The final AFL bye round of 2022 is here, with six more games on the board in Round 14.
After going a perfect 3/3 with our AFL best bets in Round 13, it's time to see what our model is predicting for this weekend.
We've simulated every Round 14 AFL game 10,000 times to determine what the smartest bets are for punters across the country.
Check out our AFL Round 14 betting tips below, with AFL best bets, betting odds, and predictions featured as always.
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Round 14 AFL Best Bets
Luke Dahlhaus Anytime Goal at $3.50
Our model has detected large value on this one, with fair odds for Luke Dahlhaus to kick a goal at $1.85.
With a 54.1% probability of this hitting, TAB's odds of $3.50 are looking very nice for those who like a value bet.
Geelong is facing a West Coast side who have been giving up goals for fun this season, meaning Dahlhaus should get a chance or two to get on the scoreboard this week.
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Geelong 1-39 at $2.25
West Coast welcomes seven players back to its side this week and our model is liking them to cover the line against Geelong.
But with the Cats projected as an 88% chance of winning, we're going to grab some more value than just the $1.91 available for the Eagles +37.5.
Our model is predicting Geelong to win this one by 33 points, and with a lot of rain slated for Perth on Saturday, this one should be closer than the bookies are suggesting.
West Coast vs Geelong is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, June 18 at 4:35pm AEST.
Josh Kelly Anytime Goal at $2.30
GWS midfielder Josh Kelly has had at least one shot on goal in eight of his 12 games so far this season, kicking 6.7 in the process.
After simulating the Giants' game against the Bulldogs 10,000 times, our model is projecting Kelly as a 54.4% chance of kicking a goal, which makes TAB's $2.30 look appealing.
GWS vs Western Bulldogs is at Giants Stadium on Saturday, June 18 at 7:25pm AEST.
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AFL Multi Tips for Round 14
If you're looking to juice up your betting on footy this week, then a multi based on a couple of our model's AFL best bets is the way to go.
- Geelong 1-39 ($2.25)
- Josh Kelly anytime goal ($2.20)
- Multi odds = $4.95
Multi odds via Sportsbet are subject to change.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
