AFL Betting Tips and Multi for Round 16, 2022
Last updated: Jul 1, 2022, 6:25AM | Published: Jul 1, 2022, 6:23AM
Round 16 of the AFL season is here, and we have anytime goal scorer bets and a multi to help guide you through the weekend.
After simulating every Round 16 AFL game 10,000 times, we've found the best bets to make on a big week of footy.
As Australia's leading sports data provider, Stats Insider's has AFL best bets, betting odds, and predictions featured here every single week of the AFL season, with AFL Round 16 betting tipsshowcased below.
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Round 16 AFL Best Bets
Jesse Motlop Anytime Goal at $1.85
Blues small forward Jesse Motlop was held goalless for the first time in his career last week after kicking exactly one goal in each of his first three games.
Since the bye, St Kilda has given up multiple goals to small forwards each week, including Lincoln McCarthy (2.2), Charlie Cameron (1.1), Matt Guelfi (2.0) and Tom Papley (2.1).
Motlop will likely need to find himself in the goals to keep his spot in the team, and is projected as a 65.5% chance to do just that.
That 65.5% probability equates to fair odds of $1.53, while the best odds available are from Pointsbet at $1.85.
Carlton vs St Kilda is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, July 1 at 7:50pm AEST.
MORE: AFL Top Eight Probabilities
Gary Rohan Anytime Goal at $1.50
In our AFL expert tips for Round 16, Geelong are projected as a 99% chance of winning and should be able to pile on the goals against North Melbourne.
Gary Rohan was a late out for Geelong's win over Richmond last week, with Jack Henry being swung forward and kicking 2.1 in his place.
With Rohan back in the team this week, expect Henry to go back to defence (especially with Tom Stewart out) and Rohan to get multiple chances to kick goals.
Our fair odds for Rohan to kick one this week are $1.26, with TAB offering the best odds of $1.48.
Geelong vs North Melbourne is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, July 2 at 7:25pm AEST.
RELATED: How Geelong Can Cover for Tom Stewart
Ben Ainsworth Anytime Goal at $1.50
One of our model's favourite bets every week is for Ben Ainsworth to kick a goal, and the Suns forward has saluted more often than not, kicking 19 goals in 14 games and being held goalless just three times all season.
With monsoonal weather expected on the Gold Coast across the weekend, it's safe to expect small forwards to do the bulk of the goal kicking in this game, with Ainsworth and Izak Rankine leading the way for the Suns.
Our fair odds for a Ainsworth goal on Saturday Night are $1.28, with TAB offering the best odds of $1.50.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood is at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, July 2 at 7:25pm AEST.
MORE: AFL Player Ratings
AFL Multi for Round 16
If you're looking to juice up your footy betting this weekend, then a multi based on our model's AFL goal scorer tips is the way to go.
- Jesse Motlop anytime goal ($1.75)
- Gary Rohan anytime goal ($1.48)
- Ben Ainsworth anytime goal ($1.42)
- Multi odds = $3.67
Multi odds via Sportsbet are subject to change.
Round 16 AFL Goal Scorers
Looking for more AFL anytime goal scorer bets this weekend? Here is a full list of the players presenting value in Round 16, according to our model:
| Player | Fair Odds | Best Odds | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Motlop (CAR) | $1.53 | $1.85 | Pointsbet |
| Alex Neal-Bullen (MEL) | $1.71 | $2.06 | TopSport |
| Gary Rohan (GEE) | $1.26 | $1.50 | TAB |
| Mason Cox (COL) | $1.81 | $2.50 | TAB |
| Ben Ainsworth (GC) | $1.28 | $1.50 | TAB |
| Jack Gunston (HAW) | $1.30 | $1.42 | Sportsbet |
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
