AFL Betting Tips and Odds for Round 2, 2024
Mar 21, 2024, 1:08AM
The best AFL betting tips for Round 2 of the 2024 AFL season have been released.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our reliable computer model to simulate each AFL Round 2 game 10,000 times and find the best AFL bets for punters across the country.
The odds below are from the Betfair Exchange. Join Betfair today to make the most of this week's best AFL bets.
All of our suggested bets for Round 2 of the AFL season come directly from the renowned AFL Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
MORE: Brownlow Predictor
AFL Betting Tips: Round 2, 2024
After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations of this week's AFL matches, our famous computer model has determined the best footy bets for Round 2, 2024.
This week's AFL betting tips feature Richmond vs Port Adelaide and Sydney vs Essendon, with our advanced predictive model carefully aiming to detect valuable edges.
Richmond +12.5 vs Port Adelaide ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.63
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 61.4%
- Match: Richmond vs Port Adelaide (Sunday, 4:00PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best AFL bet to make this week, focusing on the matchup between the Tigers and Power. We recommend placing a bet on Richmond +12.5, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 9.1% for this particular wager, which makes it our AFL bet of the round.
MORE: AFL Value Bets Today
Essendon +29.5 vs Sydney ($2.02)
- Odds: $2.02 via Betfair
- Fair Odds: $1.85
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 54%
- Matchup: Sydney vs Essendon (Saturday, 7:30PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout AFL bet, specifically in the matchup featuring the Swans and Bombers. We recommend considering a wager on Essendon +29.5, available at $2.02 odds through Betfair. We have found a compelling edge of 4.5% for this particular bet.
Collingwood H2H vs St Kilda ($1.63)
- Odds: $1.63 via Betfair
- Fair Odds: $1.54
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 64.8%
- Matchup: St Kilda vs Collingwood (Thursday, 7:30PM AEDT)
Another top tip for this week's footy action comes from the matchup between the Saints and Magpies. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with Collingwood to win at enticing odds of $1.63 through Betfair. Our model has detected an advantageous edge of 3.5% for this particular wager.
Adelaide H2H vs Geelong ($1.57)
- Odds: $1.57 via Betfair
- Fair Odds: $1.49
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 67%
- Match: Adelaide vs Geelong (Friday, 7:40PM AEDT)
Our next edge for Round 2 of the AFL season stems from the game between the Crows and Cats. The play here is a head-to-head bet on the Adelaide to win, currently available at $1.57 odds through Betfair. Our model has detected a noteworthy 3.3% edge for this particular bet.
AFL Best Bets for Round 2, 2024
- Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Tigers +12.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 9.1% edge)
- Sydney vs Essendon: Bombers +29.5 ($2.02 at Betfair, 4.5% edge)
- St Kilda vs Collingwood: Magpies to win ($1.63 at Betfair, 3.5% edge)
- Adelaide vs Geelong: Crows to win ($1.57 at Betfair, 3.3% edge)
MORE: Every AFL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
AFL Round 2 Games to Bet on This Week
- St Kilda vs Collingwood (Thursday, 7:30PM)
- Adelaide vs Geelong (Friday, 7:40PM)
- North Melbourne vs Fremantle (Saturday, 1:45PM)
- Hawthorn vs Melbourne (Saturday, 4:35PM)
- Sydney vs Essendon (Saturday, 7:30PM)
- Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast (Sunday, 1:00PM)
- Richmond vs Port Adelaide (Sunday, 4:00PM)
- West Coast vs GWS (Sunday, 6:50PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model believes are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our AFL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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