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AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Grand Final, 2023

Last updated: Apr 9, 2024, 5:14AM | Published: Sep 28, 2023, 12:20AM
By Ryan Leaver

It's time for Grand Final action in the AFL, and with these prop betting trends, you can have an advantage when betting on the action.

As Australia's top source of AFL predictions and betting advice, Stats Insider is here to assist with the best AFL betting trends for each game in the Grand Final.

Our AFL betting trends highlight which players are hitting a given line more often than their odds appear to suggest, with disposal and goal scorer markets featured below.

Players such as Eric Hipwood, Tom Mitchell, and Darcy Wilmot are among those who appear in this week's highlighted trends from Grand Final action.

AFL Betting Trends Grand Final, 2023

Use the betting trends featured below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for the Grand Final would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

  • Darcy Wilmot (Brisbane) has had 15+ disposals in 14 of his last 14 matches (100% of the time). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.19 (84% implied probability).
  • Nick Daicos (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.19 (84%).
  • Patrick Lipinski (Collingwood) has had 15+ disposals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.32 (76%).
  • Darcy Gardiner (Brisbane) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 20 matches (25%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $7.00 (14%).
  • Josh Daicos (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $2.20 (45%).
  • Conor McKenna (Brisbane) has had 15+ disposals in 13 of his last 14 matches (93%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.22 (82%).
  • Josh Dunkley (Brisbane) has had 25+ disposals in 12 of his last 20 matches (60%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.88 (53%).
  • Isaac Quaynor (Collingwood) has had 15+ disposals in 12 of his last 15 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.44 (69%).
  • Tom Mitchell (Collingwood) has had 30+ disposals in 6 of his last 17 matches (35%). You can bet on him to have 30+ again at $4.25 (24%).
  • Jack Crisp (Collingwood) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 10 matches (90%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.32 (76%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Grand Final opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

  • Tom Mitchell (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 8 of his last 9 matches against Brisbane (89% of the time). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.92 (52% implied probability).
  • Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Brisbane (70%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $3.25 (31%).
  • Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 9 of his last 10 matches against Brisbane (90%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.92 (52%).
  • Brayden Maynard (Collingwood) has had 15+ disposals in 9 of his last 9 matches against Brisbane (100%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.22 (82%).
  • Joe Daniher (Brisbane) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Collingwood (78%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.68 (60%).
  • Harris Andrews (Brisbane) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Collingwood (56%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.75 (36%).
  • Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has had 25+ disposals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (40%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $4.00 (25%).
  • Lachie Neale (Brisbane) has had 20+ disposals in 10 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.06 (94%).
  • Jack Crisp (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 5 of his last 8 matches against Brisbane (62%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $2.65 (38%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for the Grand Final would suggest.

  • Eric Hipwood (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.26 (79% implied probability).
  • Lincoln McCarthy (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 15 of his last 18 matches (83%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.52 (66%).
  • Joe Daniher (Brisbane) has kicked 2+ goals in 15 of his last 19 matches (79%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.62 (62%).
  • Zac Bailey (Brisbane) has kicked 2+ goals in 8 of his last 18 matches (44%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $3.40 (29%).
  • Josh Daicos (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 11 of his last 19 matches (58%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.12 (47%).
  • Charlie Cameron (Brisbane) has kicked 2+ goals in 14 of his last 20 matches (70%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.65 (61%).
  • Jamie Elliott (Collingwood) has kicked 3+ goals in 7 of his last 15 matches (47%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $3.15 (32%).
  • Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 17 matches (53%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.45 (41%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Grand Final opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

  • Lachie Neale (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (60% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $5.40 (19% implied probability).
  • Joe Daniher (Brisbane) has kicked 3+ goals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Collingwood (78%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $2.95 (34%).
  • Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 8 of his last 9 matches against Brisbane (89%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.52 (66%).
  • Jarrod Berry (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Collingwood (56%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.60 (28%).
  • Mason Cox (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Brisbane (75%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.87 (53%).
  • Josh Dunkley (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 9 matches against Collingwood (44%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $5.40 (19%).
  • Tom Mitchell (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 9 matches against Brisbane (44%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $4.00 (25%).
  • Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Collingwood (56%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.25 (44%).

AFL Grand Final Games to Bet On

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Tips and Predictions

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Since quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been altered to reflect the full length of a game.

If you decide to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

As well as being the best resource for AFL betting trends, Stats Insider is also your home for the latest AFL player ratings, our AFL Brownlow predictor, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL premiership odds.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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