AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Preliminary Finals, 2023

Last updated: Sep 19, 2023, 8:09AM | Published: Sep 19, 2023, 4:12AM

It's time for preliminary finals action in the AFL, and with these player betting trends, you can gain an advantage when placing bets on this week's matches.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL predictions and betting advice, Stats Insider is here to provide you with the best AFL betting trends for each game across the preliminary finals.

Our AFL betting trends show which players are hitting a certain line more frequently than their odds would suggest, with goal and disposal trends included below.

Players such as Lachie Neale, Sam Docherty, and Jack Martin are among those featured in this week's highlighted trends from all of preliminary finals action.

AFL Betting Trends Preliminary Finals, 2023

Use the betting trends featured below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for their preliminary final clash would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Sam Docherty (Carlton) has had 25+ disposals in 14 of his last 20 matches (70% of the time). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $2.20 (45% implied probability).
Matthew Kennedy (Carlton) has had 20+ disposals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $2.25 (44%).
Patrick Lipinski (Collingwood) has had 15+ disposals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.31 (76%).
Lachie Ash (GWS Giants) has had 20+ disposals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.31 (76%).
Harry Perryman (GWS Giants) has had 15+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.32 (76%).
Nick Daicos (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.33 (75%).
Darcy Wilmot (Brisbane) has had 15+ disposals in 13 of his last 13 matches (100%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.18 (85%).
Charlie Curnow (Carlton) has had 15+ disposals in 12 of his last 20 matches (60%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.91 (52%).
Finn Callaghan (GWS Giants) has had 15+ disposals in 17 of his last 17 matches (100%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.15 (87%).
Stephen Coniglio (GWS Giants) has had 25+ disposals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.31 (76%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their preliminary final opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Jeremy Howe (Collingwood) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against GWS Giants (78% of the time). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $3.30 (30% implied probability).
Tom Mitchell (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 8 of his last 9 matches against GWS Giants (89%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.56 (64%).
Brayden Maynard (Collingwood) has had 15+ disposals in 10 of his last 10 matches against GWS Giants (100%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.23 (81%).
Lachie Neale (Brisbane) has had 30+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Carlton (78%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $2.08 (48%).
Jack Martin (Carlton) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 8 matches against Brisbane (62%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.90 (34%).
Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) has had 20+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against GWS Giants (80%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.51 (66%).
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has had 25+ disposals in 4 of his last 8 matches against Carlton (50%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $4.00 (25%).
Jesse Hogan (GWS Giants) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 7 matches against Collingwood (71%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.35 (43%).
Daniel Lloyd (GWS Giants) has had 15+ disposals in 4 of his last 6 matches against Collingwood (67%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.90 (34%).
Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane) has had 20+ disposals in 6 of his last 6 matches against Carlton (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.20 (83%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for their preliminary final clash would suggest.

Jack Martin (Carlton) has kicked 1+ goals in 15 of his last 20 matches (75% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.54 (65% implied probability).
Jesse Motlop (Carlton) has kicked 2+ goals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.80 (36%).
Mason Cox (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 12 of his last 19 matches (63%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.92 (52%).
Jake Riccardi (GWS Giants) has kicked 3+ goals in 7 of his last 20 matches (35%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $5.30 (19%).
Toby Greene (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.39 (72%).
Charlie Curnow (Carlton) has kicked 6+ goals in 3 of his last 20 matches (15%). You can bet on him to kick 6+ again at $19.00 (5%).
Zac Bailey (Brisbane) has kicked 2+ goals in 8 of his last 16 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.80 (36%).
Joe Daniher (Brisbane) has kicked 5+ goals in 4 of his last 20 matches (20%). You can bet on him to kick 5+ again at $9.50 (11%).
Brent Daniels (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 15 of his last 19 matches (79%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.44 (69%).
Jack Crisp (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 15 matches (40%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $4.00 (25%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their preliminary final opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Lachie Neale (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Carlton (56% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.60 (28% implied probability).
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Carlton (75%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.40 (42%).
Eric Hipwood (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 7 matches against Carlton (100%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.16 (86%).
Harry Himmelberg (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 9 matches against Collingwood (44%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.60 (28%).
Lincoln McCarthy (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 5 matches against Carlton (100%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.37 (73%).
Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 10 matches against GWS Giants (40%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $4.00 (25%).
Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 6 matches against GWS Giants (83%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.52 (66%).
Patrick Cripps (Carlton) has kicked 2+ goals in 2 of his last 8 matches against Brisbane (25%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $9.75 (10%).
Jesse Hogan (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 5 of his last 7 matches against Collingwood (71%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $1.62 (62%).

AFL Preliminary Finals Games to Bet On

Collingwood vs GWS (Friday, 7:50pm)
Brisbane vs Carlton (Saturday, 5:15pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Tips and Predictions

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Since quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been altered to reflect the full length of a game.

If you want to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.