AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 11, 2024

May 24, 2024, 6:03AM

Round 11 of the 2024 AFL season has arrived, and with these player betting trends, you can get the upper hand when placing bets on this week's games.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL predictions and betting tips, Stats Insider is here to provide you with the best AFL betting trends for each match in Round 11.

Our AFL betting trends highlight which players are hitting a certain line more often than their Round 11 odds appear to suggest, with goal and disposal markets featured below.

Players such as Jayden Hunt, Ben Keays, and Jamaine Jones are among those who appear in this week's highlighted trends from all of Round 11.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 11, 2024

Use the betting trends listed below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 11 would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Jayden Hunt (West Coast) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 20 matches (35% of the time). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $4.50 (22% implied probability).
Jamaine Jones (West Coast) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 20 matches (35%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $5.10 (20%).
Christian Petracca (Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 20 of his last 20 matches (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.17 (85%).
Callum Wilkie (St Kilda) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 19 matches (47%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $3.10 (32%).
Liam Henry () has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $3.50 (29%).
Jack Viney (Melbourne) has had 25+ disposals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $3.05 (33%).
Will Day (Hawthorn) has had 25+ disposals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $2.55 (39%).
Changkuoth Jiath (Hawthorn) has had 15+ disposals in 15 of his last 20 matches (75%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.60 (62%).
Conor Nash (Hawthorn) has had 15+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.21 (83%).
Seamus Mitchell (Hawthorn) has had 15+ disposals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $4.00 (25%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 11 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Ben Keays (Adelaide) has had 25+ disposals in 4 of his last 9 matches against West Coast (44% of the time). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $11.50 (9% implied probability).
Clayton Oliver (Melbourne) has had 30+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against St Kilda (78%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $2.12 (47%).
Lachie Neale (Brisbane) has had 30+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Hawthorn (67%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $2.50 (40%).
Kyle Langford (Essendon) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Richmond (88%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.65 (38%).
Dustin Martin (Richmond) has had 25+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Essendon (80%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $3.20 (31%).
Mitch Duncan (Geelong) has had 25+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against GWS Giants (67%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $3.30 (30%).
Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) has had 25+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against North Melbourne (67%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $5.30 (19%).
Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) has had 30+ disposals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Fremantle (40%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $21.00 (5%).
Jack Darling (West Coast) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Adelaide (56%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $3.30 (30%).
Dom Sheed (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 5 of his last 8 matches against Adelaide (62%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $5.90 (17%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 11 would suggest.

Bayley Fritsch (Melbourne) has kicked 2+ goals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.36 (74% implied probability).
Max King (St Kilda) has kicked 3+ goals in 8 of his last 20 matches (40%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $3.90 (26%).
Shane McAdam () has kicked 1+ goals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.34 (75%).
Rowan Marshall (St Kilda) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.70 (27%).
Luke Breust (Hawthorn) has kicked 2+ goals in 12 of his last 20 matches (60%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.75 (36%).
Kamdyn McIntosh (Richmond) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 20 matches (30%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $5.30 (19%).
Noah Cumberland (Richmond) has kicked 2+ goals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $3.35 (30%).
Jake Riccardi (GWS Giants) has kicked 3+ goals in 7 of his last 20 matches (35%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $4.60 (22%).
Stephen Coniglio (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 4 of his last 20 matches (20%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $11.00 (9%).
Brad Close (Geelong) has kicked 1+ goals in 14 of his last 17 matches (82%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.49 (67%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 11 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Jack Darling (West Coast) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 10 matches against Adelaide (100% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.38 (72% implied probability).
Jack Steele (St Kilda) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Melbourne (40%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $6.00 (17%).
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Hawthorn (78%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.25 (44%).
Lachie Neale (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Hawthorn (56%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.20 (31%).
Cam Rayner (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 7 matches against Hawthorn (100%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.56 (64%).
Charlie Cameron (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 10 matches against Hawthorn (100%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.10 (91%).
Jade Gresham () has kicked 5+ goals in 2 of his last 10 matches against (20%). You can bet on him to kick 5+ against them again at $51.00 (2%).
Dustin Martin (Richmond) has kicked 2+ goals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Essendon (40%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $4.30 (23%).
Tom Hawkins (Geelong) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 10 matches against GWS Giants (100%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.12 (89%).
Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Fremantle (56%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.85 (35%).

AFL Round 11 Games to Bet On

There will be nine games played during Round 11 of the 2024 season, beginning with Western Bulldogs vs Sydney at Marvel Stadium on Thursday and ending with Adelaide vs West Coast at Adelaide Oval on Sunday.

Western Bulldogs vs Sydney (Thursday, 7:30pm)
Fremantle vs Collingwood (Friday, 8:10pm)
North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Carlton vs Gold Coast (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Geelong vs GWS (Saturday, 4:35pm)
Richmond vs Essendon (Saturday, 7:40pm)
Hawthorn vs Brisbane (Sunday, 1:10pm)
Melbourne vs St Kilda (Sunday, 3:20pm)
Adelaide vs West Coast (Sunday, 4:40pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Tips and Predictions

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Because quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been changed to reflect the full length of a game.

If you want to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.