AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 16, 2023

Round 16 of the 2023 AFL season has arrived, and with these prop betting trends, you can have an advantage when betting on this week's games.

As Australia's top source of AFL predictions and betting tips, Stats Insider is here to provide you with the best AFL betting trends for all the action in Round 16.

Our AFL betting trends highlight which players are hitting a given line more frequently than their Round 16 odds appear to suggest, with disposal and goal kicker markets featured below.

Players such as Brodie Grundy, Sam Taylor, and Stephen Coniglio are among those who appear in this week's highlighted trends from Round 16.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 16, 2023

Use the betting trends featured below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 16 would suggest.

• Sam Taylor (GWS Giants) has had 20+ disposals in 5 of his last 20 matches (25% of the time). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $9.50 (11% implied probability).
• Stephen Coniglio (GWS Giants) has had 25+ disposals in 14 of his last 16 matches (88%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.46 (68%).
• Harry Perryman (GWS Giants) has had 20+ disposals in 12 of his last 20 matches (60%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $2.08 (48%).
• Sam Walsh (Carlton) has had 25+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.25 (80%).
• Blake Acres (Carlton) has had 15+ disposals in 20 of his last 20 matches (100%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.17 (85%).
• Sam Durham (Essendon) has had 15+ disposals in 14 of his last 20 matches (70%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.69 (59%).
• Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) has had 20+ disposals in 18 of his last 19 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.23 (81%).
• Jordan Clark (Fremantle) has had 15+ disposals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.32 (76%).
• Luke McDonald (North Melbourne) has had 15+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.26 (79%).
• Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) has had 30+ disposals in 9 of his last 17 matches (53%). You can bet on him to have 30+ again at $2.75 (36%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 16 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

• Brodie Grundy (Melbourne) has had 15+ disposals in 8 of his last 8 matches against GWS Giants (100% of the time). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.57 (64% implied probability).
• Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) has had 20+ disposals in 10 of his last 10 matches against Essendon (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.25 (44%).
• Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Essendon (78%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.97 (51%).
• Zach Merrett (Essendon) has had 25+ disposals in 10 of his last 10 matches against Port Adelaide (100%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.33 (75%).
• Brandon Ellis (Gold Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (40%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $6.50 (15%).
• Jack Macrae (Western Bulldogs) has had 25+ disposals in 9 of his last 10 matches against Fremantle (90%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.63 (61%).
• Jake Lloyd (Sydney) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Geelong (78%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $2.07 (48%).
• Jake Kolodjashnij (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Sydney (70%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.95 (34%).
• Lachie Neale (Brisbane) has had 35+ disposals in 5 of his last 10 matches against Richmond (50%). You can bet on him to have 35+ against them again at $3.20 (31%).
• Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane) has had 25+ disposals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Richmond (75%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $2.20 (45%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 16 would suggest.

• Todd Marshall (Port Adelaide) has kicked 4+ goals in 5 of his last 20 matches (25% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $6.75 (15% implied probability).
• Peter Wright (Essendon) has kicked 4+ goals in 6 of his last 20 matches (30%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $8.00 (12%).
• Jake Stringer (Essendon) has kicked 4+ goals in 4 of his last 20 matches (20%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $17.00 (6%).
• Jack Lukosius (Gold Coast) has kicked 5+ goals in 3 of his last 20 matches (15%). You can bet on him to kick 5+ again at $21.00 (5%).
• Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 20 matches (35%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $4.00 (25%).
• Michael Walters (Fremantle) has kicked 2+ goals in 11 of his last 19 matches (58%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.45 (41%).
• Nick Larkey (North Melbourne) has kicked 4+ goals in 7 of his last 20 matches (35%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $4.30 (23%).
• Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 8 of his last 18 matches (44%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.45 (29%).
• Tyson Stengle (Geelong) has kicked 2+ goals in 11 of his last 18 matches (61%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.25 (44%).
• Max Holmes (Geelong) has kicked 1+ goals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.60 (38%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 16 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

• Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Essendon (70% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.90 (34% implied probability).
• Michael Walters (Fremantle) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 10 matches against Western Bulldogs (100%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.27 (79%).
• Will Hayward (Sydney) has kicked 2+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Geelong (56%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $3.60 (28%).
• Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong) has kicked 1+ goals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Sydney (80%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.95 (51%).
• Jack Riewoldt (Richmond) has kicked 2+ goals in 9 of his last 10 matches against Brisbane (90%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $1.87 (53%).
• Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Richmond (70%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.95 (51%).
• Levi Casboult (Gold Coast) has kicked 3+ goals in 3 of his last 9 matches against Collingwood (33%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $9.50 (11%).
• Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 7 matches against Western Bulldogs (71%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.03 (49%).
• Marcus Bontempelli (Western Bulldogs) has kicked 2+ goals in 4 of his last 8 matches against Fremantle (50%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $3.50 (29%).
• Todd Goldstein (North Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Adelaide (40%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $4.80 (21%).

AFL Round 16 Games to Bet On

Round 16 of the 2023 season features nine games, beginning with Brisbane vs Richmond at The Gabba on Thursday and concluding with West Coast vs St Kilda at Optus Stadium on Sunday.

• Brisbane vs Richmond (Thursday, 7:20pm)
• Sydney vs Geelong (Friday, 7:50pm)
• Adelaide vs North Melbourne (Saturday, 1:45pm)
• Bulldogs vs Fremantle (Saturday, 1:45pm)
• Gold Coast vs Collingwood (Saturday, 4:35pm)
• Essendon vs Port Adelaide (Saturday, 7:25pm)
• Hawthorn vs Carlton (Sunday, 1:10pm)
• Melbourne vs GWS (Sunday, 3:20pm)
• West Coast vs St Kilda (Sunday, 4:40pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Tips and Predictions

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Since quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been changed to reflect the full length of a game.

If you decide to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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