AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 17, 2023

Last updated: Jul 5, 2023, 11:16PM | Published: Jul 5, 2023, 8:06AM

It's time for Round 17 action in the AFL, and with these player betting trends, you can have an advantage when placing bets on the action.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL predictions and betting advice, Stats Insider is here to provide you with the best AFL betting trends for each match in Round 17.

Our AFL betting trends identify which players are exceeding a certain line more often than their Round 17 odds appear to indicate, with disposal and goal scorer markets featured below.

Players such as Ed Curnow, Sam Walsh, and Sam Docherty are among those who appear in this week's highlighted trends from Round 17.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 17, 2023

Use the betting trends featured below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 17 would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Sam Walsh (Carlton) has had 25+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95% of the time). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.25 (80% implied probability).
Sam Docherty (Carlton) has had 25+ disposals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.55 (65%).
Mark Blicavs (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.49 (67%).
Jeremy Cameron (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.50 (67%).
Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) has had 30+ disposals in 9 of his last 19 matches (47%). You can bet on him to have 30+ again at $3.35 (30%).
Tyson Stengle (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 8 of his last 20 matches (40%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $4.10 (24%).
Luke McDonald (North Melbourne) has had 15+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.27 (79%).
Jy Simpkin (North Melbourne) has had 25+ disposals in 12 of his last 20 matches (60%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $2.35 (43%).
Noah Anderson (Gold Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.40 (71%).
David Swallow (Gold Coast) has had 15+ disposals in 17 of his last 19 matches (89%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.35 (74%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 17 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Ed Curnow (Carlton) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Fremantle (88% of the time). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.85 (35% implied probability).
Tom Hawkins (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 9 matches against North Melbourne (56%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $4.00 (25%).
Isaac Smith (Geelong) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against North Melbourne (70%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $4.00 (25%).
Mitch Duncan (Geelong) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 9 matches against North Melbourne (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.47 (68%).
Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) has had 20+ disposals in 8 of his last 8 matches against Gold Coast (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.60 (38%).
Brandon Ellis (Gold Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Port Adelaide (67%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $6.25 (16%).
Jack Steele (St Kilda) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 9 matches against Melbourne (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.37 (73%).
Taylor Adams (Collingwood) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Western Bulldogs (88%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.95 (51%).
Jack Macrae (Western Bulldogs) has had 30+ disposals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Collingwood (75%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $2.85 (35%).
Taylor Duryea (Western Bulldogs) has had 15+ disposals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Collingwood (75%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.95 (34%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 17 would suggest.

Ned McHenry (Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.95 (34% implied probability).
Lachlan Murphy (Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.30 (43%).
Jake Stringer (Essendon) has kicked 4+ goals in 4 of his last 20 matches (20%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $16.00 (6%).
Darcy Fogarty (Adelaide) has kicked 2+ goals in 14 of his last 20 matches (70%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.78 (56%).
Peter Wright (Essendon) has kicked 4+ goals in 6 of his last 20 matches (30%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $6.75 (15%).
Nick Larkey (North Melbourne) has kicked 4+ goals in 6 of his last 19 matches (32%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $5.60 (18%).
Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 19 matches (47%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.05 (33%).
Cameron Zurhaar (North Melbourne) has kicked 2+ goals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.80 (36%).
Max Holmes (Geelong) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.80 (36%).
Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 13 of his last 19 matches (68%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.89 (53%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 17 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Tom Hawkins (Geelong) has kicked 3+ goals in 6 of his last 9 matches against North Melbourne (67% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $1.93 (52% implied probability).
Alex Neal-Bullen (Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 7 matches against St Kilda (86%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.75 (57%).
Ben Brown (Melbourne) has kicked 3+ goals in 5 of his last 8 matches against St Kilda (62%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $2.60 (38%).
Jack Steele (St Kilda) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Melbourne (40%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $4.60 (22%).
Lachie Neale (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against West Coast (56%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.75 (36%).
Josh Dunkley (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 8 matches against West Coast (88%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.85 (35%).
Luke Parker (Sydney) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Richmond (67%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.70 (37%).
Jade Gresham (St Kilda) has kicked 3+ goals in 2 of his last 9 matches against Melbourne (22%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $16.00 (6%).
Jack Sinclair (St Kilda) has kicked 2+ goals in 2 of his last 9 matches against Melbourne (22%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $19.00 (5%).
Callan Ward (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 6 matches against Hawthorn (100%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.78 (56%).

AFL Round 17 Games to Bet On

Round 17 features nine games, beginning with Richmond vs Sydney at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday and ending with Fremantle vs Carlton at Optus Stadium on Sunday.

Richmond vs Sydney (Thursday, 7:20pm)
Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood (Friday, 7:50pm)
Brisbane vs West Coast (Saturday, 1:45pm)
GWS vs Hawthorn (Saturday, 4:35pm)
St Kilda vs Melbourne (Saturday, 7:25pm)
Port Adelaide vs Gold Coast (Saturday, 7:40pm)
Geelong vs North Melbourne (Sunday, 1:10pm)
Essendon vs Adelaide (Sunday, 3:20pm)
Fremantle vs Carlton (Sunday, 4:40pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

RELATED: AFL Tips and Predictions

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Given that quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been altered to reflect the full length of a game.

If you decide to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.