AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 18, 2023

Last updated: Jul 16, 2023, 8:47AM | Published: Jul 11, 2023, 5:51AM

It's time for Round 18 action in the AFL, and with these player betting trends, you can get the upper hand when betting on the action.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL predictions and betting tips, Stats Insider is here to provide you with the best AFL betting trends for each game in Round 18.

Our AFL betting trends reveal which players are hitting a given line more frequently than their Round 18 betting odds appear to indicate, with goal kicker and disposal trends featured below.

Players such as Patrick Dangerfield, Tim Kelly, and Scott Pendlebury are among those who appear in this week's highlighted trends from all of Round 18.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 18, 2023

Use the betting trends featured below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 18 would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Andrew Gaff (West Coast) has had 15+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80% of the time). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.48 (68% implied probability).
Tom Barrass (West Coast) has had 15+ disposals in 10 of his last 19 matches (53%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $2.65 (38%).
Tim Kelly (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 16 of his last 18 matches (89%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.39 (72%).
Daniel Rioli (Richmond) has had 20+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.51 (66%).
Liam Baker (Richmond) has had 20+ disposals in 12 of his last 20 matches (60%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $2.30 (43%).
Josh Ward (Hawthorn) has had 20+ disposals in 12 of his last 15 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.72 (58%).
Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) has had 25+ disposals in 15 of his last 20 matches (75%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.56 (64%).
Sam Taylor (GWS Giants) has had 20+ disposals in 5 of his last 19 matches (26%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $7.00 (14%).
Stephen Coniglio (GWS Giants) has had 25+ disposals in 16 of his last 18 matches (89%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.44 (69%).
Isaac Cumming (GWS Giants) has had 20+ disposals in 12 of his last 20 matches (60%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $2.25 (44%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 18 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Andrew Gaff (West Coast) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Richmond (78% of the time). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.45 (41% implied probability).
Josh Kelly (GWS Giants) has had 25+ disposals in 8 of his last 9 matches against Adelaide (89%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.58 (63%).
Callan Ward (GWS Giants) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Adelaide (88%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.98 (51%).
Tom Hawkins (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Essendon (78%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.25 (44%).
Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Essendon (78%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.96 (51%).
Brandon Ellis (Gold Coast) has had 20+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against St Kilda (67%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.55 (39%).
Jack Crisp (Collingwood) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 9 matches against Fremantle (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.72 (58%).
Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Fremantle (75%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $2.60 (38%).
Jack Gunston (Brisbane) has had 15+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Melbourne (67%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.75 (36%).
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 10 matches against Melbourne (90%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.96 (51%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 18 would suggest.

Jesse Hogan (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 14 of his last 19 matches (74% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.84 (54% implied probability).
Toby Greene (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 16 of his last 18 matches (89%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.40 (71%).
Jake Stringer (Essendon) has kicked 4+ goals in 4 of his last 20 matches (20%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $21.00 (5%).
Peter Wright (Essendon) has kicked 4+ goals in 6 of his last 20 matches (30%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $10.00 (10%).
Tyson Stengle (Geelong) has kicked 2+ goals in 12 of his last 20 matches (60%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.15 (47%).
Ryan Burton (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 20 matches (35%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $5.20 (19%).
Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.10 (48%).
Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.60 (38%).
Jye Amiss (Fremantle) has kicked 2+ goals in 11 of his last 18 matches (61%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.25 (44%).
Michael Walters (Fremantle) has kicked 2+ goals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.80 (36%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 18 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Chad Wingard (Hawthorn) has kicked 2+ goals in 7 of his last 8 matches against North Melbourne (88% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $3.75 (27% implied probability).
Stephen Coniglio (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 4 of his last 8 matches against Adelaide (50%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $8.25 (12%).
Jesse Hogan (GWS Giants) has kicked 3+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Adelaide (56%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $3.75 (27%).
Tom Hawkins (Geelong) has kicked 3+ goals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Essendon (78%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $2.40 (42%).
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Melbourne (70%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.08 (48%).
Jack Gunston (Brisbane) has kicked 2+ goals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Melbourne (78%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $2.30 (43%).
Lincoln McCarthy (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 10 matches against Melbourne (90%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.84 (54%).
Ben Brown (Melbourne) has kicked 3+ goals in 5 of his last 10 matches against Brisbane (50%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $3.40 (29%).
Jack Darling (West Coast) has kicked 3+ goals in 3 of his last 9 matches against Richmond (33%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $6.50 (15%).
Tim Kelly (West Coast) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Richmond (75%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.90 (53%).

AFL Round 18 Games to Bet On

There will be nine games played during Round 18 of the 2023 season, beginning with Sydney vs Western Bulldogs at Sydney Cricket Ground on Thursday and concluding with West Coast vs Richmond at Optus Stadium on Sunday.

Sydney vs Western Bulldogs (Thursday, 7:20pm)
Melbourne vs Brisbane (Friday, 7:50pm)
Collingwood vs Fremantle (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Gold Coast vs St Kilda (Saturday, 2:10pm)
Carlton vs Port Adelaide (Saturday, 4:35pm)
Geelong vs Essendon (Saturday, 7:25pm)
Adelaide vs GWS (Saturday, 7:40pm)
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn (Sunday, 1:10pm)
West Coast vs Richmond (Sunday, 4:40pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Predictions Today

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Given that quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been altered to reflect the full length of a game.

If you want to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

As well as being the best resource for AFL betting trends, Stats Insider is also your home for the latest AFL player ratings, our AFL Brownlow predictor 2023, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL premiership odds.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.