AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 20, 2023

Last updated: Jul 25, 2023, 11:03AM | Published: Jul 25, 2023, 11:03AM

It's time for Round 20 action in the AFL, and with these player prop betting trends, you can have an advantage when betting on the action.

As Australia's top source of AFL predictions and betting tips, Stats Insider is here to assist with the best AFL betting trends for each game in Round 20.

Our AFL betting trends highlight which players are exceeding a given line more frequently than their Round 20 odds appear to indicate, with goal and disposal markets included below.

Players such as Tim Kelly, Tom Barrass, and Jack Riewoldt are among those featured in this week's highlighted trends from all of Round 20.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 20, 2023

Use the betting trends listed below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 20 would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Tim Kelly (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85% of the time). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.40 (71% implied probability).
Tom Barrass (West Coast) has had 15+ disposals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $2.75 (36%).
Tim Taranto (Richmond) has had 25+ disposals in 16 of his last 18 matches (89%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.29 (78%).
Liam Baker (Richmond) has had 20+ disposals in 11 of his last 17 matches (65%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.93 (52%).
Lachie Hunter (Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 17 of his last 19 matches (89%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.40 (71%).
Christian Petracca (Melbourne) has had 25+ disposals in 16 of his last 19 matches (84%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.55 (65%).
Jarrod Berry (Brisbane) has had 15+ disposals in 15 of his last 19 matches (79%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.50 (67%).
David Swallow (Gold Coast) has had 15+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.46 (68%).
Noah Anderson (Gold Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.42 (70%).
Brandon Ellis (Gold Coast) has had 15+ disposals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.43 (70%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 20 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Adam Tomlinson (Melbourne) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Richmond (78% of the time). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.93 (52% implied probability).
Rory Sloane (Adelaide) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Port Adelaide (78%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.93 (52%).
Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide) has had 30+ disposals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Adelaide (40%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $6.50 (15%).
Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) has had 20+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Adelaide (80%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.18 (46%).
Jake Lloyd (Sydney) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Essendon (70%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $2.25 (44%).
Jack Gunston (Brisbane) has had 15+ disposals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Gold Coast (75%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.70 (37%).
Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane) has had 20+ disposals in 10 of his last 10 matches against Gold Coast (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.28 (78%).
David Swallow (Gold Coast) has had 20+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Brisbane (80%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $3.50 (29%).
Michael Walters (Fremantle) has had 15+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Geelong (67%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $4.70 (21%).
Toby Greene (GWS Giants) has had 15+ disposals in 9 of his last 9 matches against Western Bulldogs (100%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.31 (76%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 20 would suggest.

Alex Neal-Bullen (Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 14 of his last 19 matches (74% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.71 (58% implied probability).
Lachlan Murphy (Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.50 (40%).
Darcy Fogarty (Adelaide) has kicked 3+ goals in 8 of his last 20 matches (40%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $4.00 (25%).
Shane McAdam (Adelaide) has kicked 2+ goals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $3.10 (32%).
Hayden McLean (Sydney) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.80 (36%).
Jack Lukosius (Gold Coast) has kicked 5+ goals in 3 of his last 20 matches (15%). You can bet on him to kick 5+ again at $23.00 (4%).
Ben King (Gold Coast) has kicked 4+ goals in 4 of his last 19 matches (21%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $9.25 (11%).
Jack Gunston (Brisbane) has kicked 4+ goals in 4 of his last 20 matches (20%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $12.50 (8%).
Sam Switkowski (Fremantle) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 17 matches (59%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.15 (47%).
Josh Corbett (Fremantle) has kicked 1+ goals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.84 (54%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 20 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Jack Riewoldt (Richmond) has kicked 2+ goals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Melbourne (78% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $1.99 (50% implied probability).
Rory Sloane (Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 10 matches against Port Adelaide (60%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $4.40 (23%).
Darcy Parish (Essendon) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Sydney (56%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.40 (29%).
Lance Franklin (Sydney) has kicked 2+ goals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Essendon (88%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $1.96 (51%).
Jake Stringer (Essendon) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 10 matches against Sydney (100%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.25 (80%).
Lachie Neale (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 10 matches against Gold Coast (60%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.70 (27%).
Charlie Cameron (Brisbane) has kicked 2+ goals in 10 of his last 10 matches against Gold Coast (100%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $1.50 (67%).
Toby Greene (GWS Giants) has kicked 3+ goals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Western Bulldogs (78%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $2.20 (45%).
Brad Crouch (St Kilda) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 7 matches against Hawthorn (57%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $4.25 (24%).
Jack Steele (St Kilda) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 8 matches against Hawthorn (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.45 (29%).

AFL Round 20 Games to Bet On

Round 20 features nine games, beginning with Collingwood vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday and finishing with West Coast vs North Melbourne at Optus Stadium on Sunday.

Collingwood vs Carlton (Friday, 7:50pm)
Western Bulldogs vs GWS (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Geelong vs Fremantle (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Gold Coast vs Brisbane (Saturday, 4:35pm)
Essendon vs Sydney (Saturday, 7:25pm)
Adelaide vs Port Adelaide (Saturday, 7:40pm)
Hawthorn vs St Kilda (Sunday, 1:10pm)
Richmond vs Melbourne (Sunday, 3:20pm)
West Coast vs North Melbourne (Sunday, 4:40pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Predictions Today

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Given that quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been modified to reflect the full length of a game.

If you want to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

As well as being the best resource for AFL betting trends, Stats Insider is also your home for the latest AFL player ratings, our AFL Brownlow predictor 2023, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL premiership odds 2023.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.