AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 21, 2023

Last updated: Aug 1, 2023, 12:18PM | Published: Aug 1, 2023, 12:18PM

Round 21 of the 2023 AFL season has arrived, and with these player prop betting trends, you can get the upper hand when placing bets on the action.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL predictions and betting tips, Stats Insider is here to provide you with the best AFL betting trends for each game in Round 21.

Our AFL betting trends reveal which players are exceeding a given line more often than their Round 21 odds would indicate, with goal kicker and disposal trends included below.

Players such as Jaeger O'Meara, Dayne Zorko, and Jack Gunston are among those featured in this week's highlighted trends from all of Round 21.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 21, 2023

Use the betting trends listed below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 21 would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) has had 15+ disposals in 20 of his last 20 matches (100% of the time). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.13 (88% implied probability).
Caleb Serong (Fremantle) has had 30+ disposals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65%). You can bet on him to have 30+ again at $1.85 (54%).
Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) has had 25+ disposals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.27 (79%).
Jimmy Webster (St Kilda) has had 15+ disposals in 14 of his last 19 matches (74%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.60 (62%).
Lachie Hunter (Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 17 of his last 19 matches (89%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.36 (74%).
Jy Simpkin (North Melbourne) has had 25+ disposals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $2.25 (44%).
Jake Kolodjashnij (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 20 matches (35%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $4.10 (24%).
Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide) has had 20+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.53 (65%).
Josh Ward (Hawthorn) has had 20+ disposals in 14 of his last 17 matches (82%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.53 (65%).
Nick Daicos (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 18 of his last 18 matches (100%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.19 (84%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 21 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Fremantle (78% of the time). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.30 (43% implied probability).
Harris Andrews (Brisbane) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Fremantle (88%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.86 (54%).
Jake Lloyd (Sydney) has had 25+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against GWS Giants (80%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $2.20 (45%).
Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) has had 20+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Geelong (80%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.25 (44%).
Brodie Smith (Adelaide) has had 20+ disposals in 8 of his last 8 matches against Gold Coast (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.54 (65%).
Andrew Gaff (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Essendon (78%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.95 (51%).
Jack Macrae (Western Bulldogs) has had 30+ disposals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Richmond (75%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $2.95 (34%).
Jack Martin (Carlton) has had 15+ disposals in 6 of his last 7 matches against St Kilda (86%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $3.90 (26%).
Jack Billings (St Kilda) has had 25+ disposals in 4 of his last 8 matches against Carlton (50%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $8.25 (12%).
Luke Parker (Sydney) has had 30+ disposals in 5 of his last 9 matches against GWS Giants (56%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $2.85 (35%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 21 would suggest.

Jack Gunston (Brisbane) has kicked 5+ goals in 3 of his last 20 matches (15% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 5+ again at $34.00 (3% implied probability).
Michael Walters (Fremantle) has kicked 2+ goals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.92 (52%).
Matthew Cottrell (Carlton) has kicked 2+ goals in 5 of his last 19 matches (26%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $7.00 (14%).
Mason Wood (St Kilda) has kicked 1+ goals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.82 (55%).
Toby Greene (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.24 (81%).
Tom Papley (Sydney) has kicked 1+ goals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.17 (85%).
Connor Rozee (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 15 of his last 20 matches (75%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.54 (65%).
Jed McEntee (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.88 (53%).
Tyson Stengle (Geelong) has kicked 3+ goals in 6 of his last 19 matches (32%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $4.80 (21%).
Sam Powell-Pepper (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.51 (66%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 21 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Charlie Cameron (Brisbane) has kicked 2+ goals in 7 of his last 7 matches against Fremantle (100% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $1.46 (68% implied probability).
Will Hayward (Sydney) has kicked 1+ goals in 8 of his last 10 matches against GWS Giants (80%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.57 (64%).
Daniel Lloyd (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 7 matches against Sydney (86%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.25 (44%).
Isaac Heeney (Sydney) has kicked 3+ goals in 4 of his last 10 matches against GWS Giants (40%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $7.75 (13%).
Stephen Coniglio (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Sydney (70%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.45 (41%).
Adam Treloar (Western Bulldogs) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Richmond (75%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.93 (52%).
Oscar McInerney (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 7 matches against Fremantle (71%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.15 (32%).
Lincoln McCarthy (Brisbane) has kicked 3+ goals in 3 of his last 8 matches against Fremantle (38%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $9.25 (11%).
Jack Billings (St Kilda) has kicked 2+ goals in 3 of his last 8 matches against Carlton (38%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $7.00 (14%).
Tom Papley (Sydney) has kicked 2+ goals in 6 of his last 9 matches against GWS Giants (67%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $1.97 (51%).

AFL Round 21 Games to Bet On

AFL fans have nine games to enjoy this week, starting with Western Bulldogs vs Richmond at Marvel Stadium on Friday and ending with Fremantle vs Brisbane at Optus Stadium on Sunday.

Western Bulldogs vs Richmond (Friday, 7:50pm)
Essendon vs West Coast (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Adelaide vs Gold Coast (Saturday, 2:10pm)
Hawthorn vs Collingwood (Saturday, 4:35pm)
Geelong vs Port Adelaide (Saturday, 7:25pm)
GWS vs Sydney (Saturday, 7:30pm)
North Melbourne vs Melbourne (Sunday, 1:10pm)
St Kilda vs Carlton (Sunday, 3:20pm)
Fremantle vs Brisbane (Sunday, 4:40pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Predictions Today

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Since quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been altered to reflect the full length of a game.

If you want to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.