AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 22, 2023

Last updated: Aug 15, 2023, 12:25AM | Published: Aug 8, 2023, 6:06AM

Round 22 of the 2023 AFL season has arrived, and with these player betting trends, you can have an advantage when placing bets on this week's games.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL predictions and betting tips, Stats Insider is here to provide you with the best AFL betting trends for each match in Round 22.

Our AFL betting trends highlight which players are hitting a certain line more often than their Round 22 betting odds would suggest, with disposal and goal kicker trends featured below.

Players such as Kane Farrell, Connor Idun, and Toby Greene are among those who appear in this week's highlighted trends from all of Round 22.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 22, 2023

Use the betting trends listed below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 22 would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) has had 15+ disposals in 15 of his last 20 matches (75% of the time). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.55 (65% implied probability).
Connor Idun (GWS Giants) has had 15+ disposals in 15 of his last 20 matches (75%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.66 (60%).
Stephen Coniglio (GWS Giants) has had 25+ disposals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.41 (71%).
Liam Baker (Richmond) has had 20+ disposals in 11 of his last 19 matches (58%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $2.20 (45%).
Dion Prestia (Richmond) has had 20+ disposals in 16 of his last 18 matches (89%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.37 (73%).
Liam Stocker (St Kilda) has had 15+ disposals in 14 of his last 19 matches (74%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.68 (60%).
Caleb Daniel (Western Bulldogs) has had 20+ disposals in 15 of his last 16 matches (94%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.30 (77%).
Blake Hardwick (Hawthorn) has had 15+ disposals in 16 of his last 18 matches (89%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.33 (75%).
Josh Ward (Hawthorn) has had 20+ disposals in 15 of his last 19 matches (79%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.51 (66%).
Dylan Moore (Hawthorn) has had 15+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.20 (83%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 22 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Trent Cotchin (Richmond) has had 20+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against St Kilda (80% of the time). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.20 (45% implied probability).
Dustin Martin (Richmond) has had 30+ disposals in 6 of his last 10 matches against St Kilda (60%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $5.00 (20%).
Jack Macrae (Western Bulldogs) has had 30+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Hawthorn (67%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $3.60 (28%).
Luke Breust (Hawthorn) has had 15+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Western Bulldogs (67%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $3.90 (26%).
Michael Walters (Fremantle) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against West Coast (70%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $4.50 (22%).
James Aish (Fremantle) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 10 matches against West Coast (90%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.18 (46%).
Andrew Gaff (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 9 of his last 10 matches against Fremantle (90%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $2.20 (45%).
Zach Merrett (Essendon) has had 30+ disposals in 9 of his last 10 matches against North Melbourne (90%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $1.68 (60%).
Isaac Smith (Geelong) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (90%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.66 (60%).
Taylor Adams (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 6 of his last 10 matches against Geelong (60%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $4.00 (25%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 22 would suggest.

Toby Greene (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.29 (78% implied probability).
Callan Ward (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.20 (31%).
Jesse Hogan (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 15 of his last 20 matches (75%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.85 (54%).
Karl Amon (Hawthorn) has kicked 1+ goals in 8 of his last 20 matches (40%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.20 (31%).
Jai Newcombe (Hawthorn) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 18 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.55 (39%).
Chad Wingard (Hawthorn) has kicked 2+ goals in 7 of his last 18 matches (39%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $4.00 (25%).
Charlie Curnow (Carlton) has kicked 6+ goals in 4 of his last 19 matches (21%). You can bet on him to kick 6+ again at $9.75 (10%).
Jacob van Rooyen (Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 15 of his last 16 matches (94%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.27 (79%).
Kade Chandler (Melbourne) has kicked 3+ goals in 5 of his last 18 matches (28%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $6.75 (15%).
Jesse Motlop (Carlton) has kicked 2+ goals in 10 of his last 19 matches (53%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.50 (40%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 22 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Jade Gresham (St Kilda) has kicked 2+ goals in 4 of his last 9 matches against Richmond (44% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $4.00 (25% implied probability).
Mason Wood (St Kilda) has kicked 2+ goals in 4 of his last 8 matches against Richmond (50%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $5.25 (19%).
Jack Darling (West Coast) has kicked 2+ goals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Fremantle (80%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $2.10 (48%).
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Adelaide (75%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.30 (43%).
Jeremy Cameron (Geelong) has kicked 2+ goals in 9 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (90%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $1.37 (73%).
Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) has kicked 2+ goals in 5 of his last 10 matches against Geelong (50%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $3.80 (26%).
Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong) has kicked 1+ goals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (80%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.85 (54%).
Shai Bolton (Richmond) has kicked 3+ goals in 3 of his last 7 matches against St Kilda (43%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $7.00 (14%).
Caleb Daniel (Western Bulldogs) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 10 matches against Hawthorn (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.50 (40%).
Rory Lobb (Western Bulldogs) has kicked 3+ goals in 3 of his last 8 matches against Hawthorn (38%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $5.90 (17%).

AFL Round 22 Games to Bet On

Footy fans have nine games to watch this week, beginning with Collingwood vs Geelong at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday and ending with Carlton vs Melbourne at Adelaide Oval on Saturday.

Collingwood vs Geelong (Friday, 7:50pm)
Sydney vs Gold Coast (Saturday, 1:45pm)
North Melbourne vs Essendon (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Brisbane vs Adelaide (Saturday, 4:35pm)
Carlton vs Melbourne (Saturday, 7:25pm)
West Coast vs Fremantle (Saturday, 8:10pm)
Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs (Sunday, 1:10pm)
St Kilda vs Richmond (Sunday, 3:20pm)
Port Adelaide vs GWS (Sunday, 4:40pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Predictions This Week

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Given that quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been modified to reflect the full length of a game.

If you want to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

As well as being the best resource for AFL betting trends, Stats Insider is also your home for the latest AFL player ratings, our AFL Brownlow predictor 2023, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL premiership odds 2023.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.