AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 23, 2023

Last updated: Aug 20, 2023, 10:32AM | Published: Aug 15, 2023, 2:01PM

It's time for Round 23 action in the AFL, and with these player prop betting trends, you can get the upper hand when betting on the action.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL predictions and betting tips, Stats Insider is here to assist with the best AFL betting trends for each match in Round 23.

Our AFL betting trends identify which players are hitting a given line more frequently than their Round 23 betting odds would suggest, with goal scorer and disposal markets included below.

Players such as Darcy Byrne-Jones, Michael Walters, and Zak Butters are among those featured in this week's highlighted trends from Round 23.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 23, 2023

Use the betting trends listed below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 23 would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) has had 15+ disposals in 15 of his last 20 matches (75% of the time). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.66 (60% implied probability).
Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) has had 15+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.26 (79%).
Lachie Hunter (Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 16 of his last 18 matches (89%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.37 (73%).
Jake Bowey (Melbourne) has had 15+ disposals in 15 of his last 18 matches (83%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.50 (67%).
James Sicily (Hawthorn) has had 25+ disposals in 15 of his last 19 matches (79%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.63 (61%).
Josh Ward (Hawthorn) has had 20+ disposals in 15 of his last 19 matches (79%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.71 (58%).
Christian Petracca (Melbourne) has had 25+ disposals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.57 (64%).
Tim Kelly (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.54 (65%).
Oliver Florent (Sydney) has had 15+ disposals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.40 (71%).
Jeremy Cameron (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 14 of his last 19 matches (74%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.68 (60%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 23 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port Adelaide) has had 15+ disposals in 8 of his last 8 matches against Fremantle (100% of the time). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.48 (68% implied probability).
Michael Walters (Fremantle) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Port Adelaide (56%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $3.50 (29%).
Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Fremantle (88%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $2.18 (46%).
Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 9 matches against Fremantle (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.25 (44%).
Max Gawn (Melbourne) has had 15+ disposals in 9 of his last 9 matches against Hawthorn (100%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.32 (76%).
Andrew Gaff (West Coast) has had 35+ disposals in 5 of his last 10 matches against Western Bulldogs (50%). You can bet on him to have 35+ against them again at $12.50 (8%).
Zach Tuohy (Geelong) has had 20+ disposals in 8 of his last 9 matches against St Kilda (89%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.25 (44%).
Tom Mitchell (Collingwood) has had 30+ disposals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Brisbane (75%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $4.10 (24%).
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has had 25+ disposals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (40%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $7.25 (14%).
Taylor Adams (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 6 of his last 10 matches against Brisbane (60%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $3.20 (31%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 23 would suggest.

Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 11 of his last 18 matches (61% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.05 (49% implied probability).
Jamie Cripps (West Coast) has kicked 2+ goals in 8 of his last 19 matches (42%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $3.60 (28%).
Jack Darling (West Coast) has kicked 1+ goals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.38 (72%).
Jack Petruccelle (West Coast) has kicked 1+ goals in 12 of his last 19 matches (63%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.10 (48%).
Oscar Allen (West Coast) has kicked 2+ goals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.52 (66%).
Dan Butler (St Kilda) has kicked 2+ goals in 10 of his last 18 matches (56%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.35 (43%).
Peter Wright (Essendon) has kicked 3+ goals in 9 of his last 18 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $2.75 (36%).
Jack Lukosius (Gold Coast) has kicked 5+ goals in 3 of his last 20 matches (15%). You can bet on him to kick 5+ again at $21.00 (5%).
Jesse Motlop (Carlton) has kicked 2+ goals in 10 of his last 19 matches (53%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.45 (41%).
Matthew Cottrell (Carlton) has kicked 2+ goals in 5 of his last 20 matches (25%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $8.75 (11%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 23 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Jack Darling (West Coast) has kicked 2+ goals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Western Bulldogs (80% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $2.95 (34% implied probability).
Tim Membrey (St Kilda) has kicked 2+ goals in 5 of his last 8 matches against Geelong (62%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $3.40 (29%).
Patrick Cripps (Carlton) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Gold Coast (70%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.45 (41%).
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has kicked 2+ goals in 3 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (30%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $12.00 (8%).
Joe Daniher (Brisbane) has kicked 3+ goals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Collingwood (67%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $2.95 (34%).
Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 8 of his last 9 matches against Brisbane (89%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.53 (65%).
Isaac Smith (Geelong) has kicked 3+ goals in 2 of his last 9 matches against St Kilda (22%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $31.00 (3%).
Stephen Coniglio (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 7 matches against Essendon (86%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.20 (45%).
Josh Dunkley (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 8 matches against Collingwood (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.60 (28%).
Charlie Cameron (Brisbane) has kicked 6+ goals in 2 of his last 9 matches against Collingwood (22%). You can bet on him to kick 6+ against them again at $34.00 (3%).

AFL Round 23 Games to Bet On

There will be nine games played during Round 23 of the 2023 season, starting with Collingwood vs Brisbane at Marvel Stadium on Friday and ending with Fremantle vs Port Adelaide at Optus Stadium on Sunday.

Collingwood vs Brisbane (Friday, 7:50pm)
Richmond vs North Melbourne (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Gold Coast vs Carlton (Saturday, 2:10pm)
GWS vs Essendon (Saturday, 4:35pm)
St Kilda vs Geelong (Saturday, 7:25pm)
Adelaide vs Sydney (Saturday, 7:40pm)
Western Bulldogs vs West Coast (Sunday, 1:10pm)
Melbourne vs Hawthorn (Sunday, 3:20pm)
Fremantle vs Port Adelaide (Sunday, 4:40pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Predictions Today

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Because quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been altered to reflect the full length of a game.

If you want to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

As well as being the best resource for AFL betting trends, Stats Insider is also your home for the latest AFL player ratings, our AFL Brownlow predictor 2023, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL premiership odds.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.