AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 5, 2024

Apr 9, 2024, 6:12AM

Round 5 of the 2024 AFL season has arrived, and with these prop betting trends, you can get the upper hand when betting on this week's games.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL predictions and betting advice, Stats Insider is here to provide you with the best AFL betting trends for each game in Round 5.

Our AFL betting trends identify which players are hitting a certain line more often than their Round 5 odds appear to suggest, with disposal and goal scorer trends included below.

Players such as Tim Kelly, Liam Duggan, and Jack Darling are among those featured in this week's highlighted trends from Round 5.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 5, 2024

Use the betting trends listed below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 5 would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Liam Duggan (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 13 of his last 19 matches (68% of the time). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.88 (53% implied probability).
Tim Kelly (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.48 (68%).
Bailey Scott (North Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 16 of his last 19 matches (84%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.46 (68%).
Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) has had 25+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.24 (81%).
Dan Houston (Port Adelaide) has had 25+ disposals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $2.45 (41%).
Noah Anderson (Gold Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.48 (68%).
Josh Ward (Hawthorn) has had 15+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.30 (77%).
James Sicily (Hawthorn) has had 25+ disposals in 11 of his last 19 matches (58%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $2.45 (41%).
Nic Newman (Carlton) has had 30+ disposals in 4 of his last 20 matches (20%). You can bet on him to have 30+ again at $13.00 (8%).
Ben Hobbs (Essendon) has had 20+ disposals in 11 of his last 18 matches (61%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $2.20 (45%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 5 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Tim Kelly (West Coast) has had 30+ disposals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Richmond (56% of the time). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $2.95 (34% implied probability).
Jack Darling (West Coast) has had 15+ disposals in 4 of his last 9 matches against Richmond (44%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $4.40 (23%).
Jy Simpkin (North Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Geelong (67%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.60 (38%).
Mitch Duncan (Geelong) has had 20+ disposals in 10 of his last 10 matches against North Melbourne (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.25 (80%).
Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port Adelaide) has had 15+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Fremantle (80%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.75 (36%).
Patrick Cripps (Carlton) has had 35+ disposals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Adelaide (40%). You can bet on him to have 35+ against them again at $8.75 (11%).
Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 10 matches against North Melbourne (90%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.29 (78%).
Luke McDonald (North Melbourne) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Geelong (88%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.58 (63%).
Rhys Stanley (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 8 matches against North Melbourne (62%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.20 (45%).
Tom Hawkins (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 9 matches against North Melbourne (56%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.75 (36%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 5 would suggest.

Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.35 (30% implied probability).
Nick Larkey (North Melbourne) has kicked 3+ goals in 12 of his last 20 matches (60%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $2.90 (34%).
Junior Rioli (Port Adelaide) has kicked 2+ goals in 11 of his last 19 matches (58%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.50 (40%).
Dan Houston (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 8 of his last 20 matches (40%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.75 (27%).
Jed McEntee (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.10 (32%).
Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.70 (37%).
Taylor Walker (Adelaide) has kicked 2+ goals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.93 (52%).
Dan Butler (St Kilda) has kicked 2+ goals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $4.25 (24%).
Xavier O'Halloran (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.80 (26%).
Toby Greene (GWS Giants) has kicked 3+ goals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $2.75 (36%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 5 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Zac Bailey (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Melbourne (88% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.55 (65% implied probability).
Christian Petracca (Melbourne) has kicked 2+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Brisbane (56%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $3.15 (32%).
Alex Neal-Bullen (Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Brisbane (78%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.69 (59%).
Ben Brown (Melbourne) has kicked 3+ goals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Brisbane (40%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $5.30 (19%).
Jack Darling (West Coast) has kicked 4+ goals in 2 of his last 10 matches against Richmond (20%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ against them again at $12.50 (8%).
Tim Kelly (West Coast) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Richmond (75%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.98 (51%).
Tom Hawkins (Geelong) has kicked 3+ goals in 7 of his last 10 matches against North Melbourne (70%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $1.72 (58%).
Mitch Duncan (Geelong) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 10 matches against North Melbourne (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.60 (38%).
Sam Powell-Pepper (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Fremantle (88%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.36 (74%).
Darcy Parish (Essendon) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 8 matches against Western Bulldogs (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.70 (27%).

AFL Round 5 Games to Bet On

Round 5 features eight games, starting with Melbourne vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday and concluding with West Coast vs Richmond at Optus Stadium on Sunday.

Melbourne vs Brisbane (Thursday, 7:30pm)
Western Bulldogs vs Essendon (Friday, 7:40pm)
GWS vs St Kilda (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Carlton vs Adelaide (Saturday, 4:35pm)
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn (Saturday, 7:30pm)
Port Adelaide vs Fremantle (Saturday, 7:30pm)
Geelong vs North Melbourne (Sunday, 1:00pm)
West Coast vs Richmond (Sunday, 4:00pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Predictions This Week

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Given that quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been modified to reflect the full length of a game.

If you choose to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

As well as being the best resource for AFL betting trends, Stats Insider is also your home for the latest AFL player ratings, our AFL Brownlow predictor 2024, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL premiership odds.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.