AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 6, 2024

Apr 16, 2024, 11:01AM

It's time for Round 6 action in the AFL, and with these player prop betting trends, you can gain an advantage when betting on the action.

As Australia's top source of AFL predictions and betting tips, Stats Insider is here to assist you with the best AFL betting trends for each game in Round 6.

Our AFL betting trends highlight which players are hitting a certain line more often than their Round 6 betting odds would suggest, with disposal and goal markets included below.

Players such as Luke McDonald, Josh Ward, and James Sicily are among those who appear in this week's highlighted trends from Round 6.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 6, 2024

Use the betting trends featured below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 6 would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Josh Ward (Hawthorn) has had 15+ disposals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90% of the time). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.31 (76% implied probability).
James Sicily (Hawthorn) has had 25+ disposals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $2.95 (34%).
Conor Nash (Hawthorn) has had 25+ disposals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $3.00 (33%).
Connor Macdonald (Hawthorn) has had 15+ disposals in 14 of his last 17 matches (82%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.62 (62%).
Wil Powell (Gold Coast) has had 20+ disposals in 12 of his last 20 matches (60%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $2.60 (38%).
Liam Duggan (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $2.10 (48%).
Alex Witherden (West Coast) has had 15+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.29 (78%).
Tim Kelly (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.45 (69%).
Mark Blicavs (Geelong) has had 15+ disposals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.37 (73%).
Connor Rozee (Port Adelaide) has had 25+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.49 (67%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 6 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Luke McDonald (North Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Hawthorn (67% of the time). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $3.25 (31% implied probability).
Jake Lloyd (Sydney) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Gold Coast (70%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $2.50 (40%).
James Aish (Fremantle) has had 20+ disposals in 9 of his last 9 matches against West Coast (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.33 (75%).
Michael Walters (Fremantle) has had 15+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against West Coast (80%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $3.30 (30%).
Zach Tuohy (Geelong) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Brisbane (70%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.65 (38%).
Jack Crisp (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 6 of his last 10 matches against Port Adelaide (60%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $3.90 (26%).
Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Port Adelaide (70%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $5.25 (19%).
Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port Adelaide) has had 15+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (80%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $3.70 (27%).
Rory Laird (Adelaide) has had 25+ disposals in 9 of his last 9 matches against Essendon (100%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.37 (73%).
Taylor Adams () has had 20+ disposals in 6 of his last 7 matches against (86%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $2.15 (47%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 6 would suggest.

Tyson Stengle (Geelong) has kicked 1+ goals in 18 of his last 20 matches (90% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.30 (77% implied probability).
Tom Hawkins (Geelong) has kicked 4+ goals in 6 of his last 20 matches (30%). You can bet on him to kick 4+ again at $7.75 (13%).
Mark Blicavs (Geelong) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.15 (32%).
Oliver Henry (Geelong) has kicked 1+ goals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.21 (83%).
Jake Riccardi (GWS Giants) has kicked 3+ goals in 7 of his last 20 matches (35%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $6.00 (17%).
Xavier O'Halloran (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $4.00 (25%).
Jamie Elliott (Collingwood) has kicked 3+ goals in 8 of his last 20 matches (40%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $4.00 (25%).
Sam Powell-Pepper (Port Adelaide) has kicked 2+ goals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $3.15 (32%).
Junior Rioli (Port Adelaide) has kicked 2+ goals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $3.15 (32%).
Nick Daicos (Collingwood) has kicked 1+ goals in 13 of his last 17 matches (76%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.80 (56%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 6 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Jack Darling (West Coast) has kicked 2+ goals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Fremantle (70% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $3.40 (29% implied probability).
Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong) has kicked 2+ goals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Brisbane (40%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $9.00 (11%).
Tom Hawkins (Geelong) has kicked 3+ goals in 6 of his last 10 matches against Brisbane (60%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ against them again at $3.35 (30%).
Callan Ward (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Carlton (56%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $4.20 (24%).
Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (40%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $5.50 (18%).
Jason Johannisen (Western Bulldogs) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against St Kilda (56%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $6.00 (17%).
Josh Dunkley (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 9 matches against Geelong (44%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $5.00 (20%).
Brody Mihocek (Collingwood) has kicked 2+ goals in 6 of his last 7 matches against Port Adelaide (86%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $1.93 (52%).
Charlie Dixon (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 8 of his last 8 matches against Collingwood (100%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.22 (82%).
Todd Goldstein () has kicked 2+ goals in 3 of his last 10 matches against (30%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $12.00 (8%).

AFL Round 6 Games to Bet On

Footy fans have eight games to watch this week, beginning with St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium on Thursday and finishing with North Melbourne vs Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium on Sunday.

St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs (Thursday, 7:30pm)
Adelaide vs Essendon (Friday, 7:40pm)
Collingwood vs Port Adelaide (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Carlton vs GWS (Saturday, 4:35pm)
Brisbane vs Geelong (Saturday, 7:30pm)
West Coast vs Fremantle (Saturday, 8:10pm)
Sydney vs Gold Coast (Sunday, 1:00pm)
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn (Sunday, 4:00pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Tips and Predictions

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Given that quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been modified to reflect the full length of a game.

If you choose to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.