AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Round 9, 2024

May 9, 2024, 9:55AM

It's time for Round 9 action in the AFL, and with these prop betting trends, you can get the upper hand when betting on this week's matches.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL predictions and betting advice, Stats Insider is here to provide you with the best AFL betting trends for each match in Round 9.

Our AFL betting trends identify which players are exceeding a given line more often than their Round 9 betting odds would indicate, with disposal and goal scorer markets featured below.

Players such as Dayne Zorko, Taylor Walker, and Liam Duggan are among those who appear in this week's highlighted trends from Round 9.

AFL Betting Trends for Round 9, 2024

Use the betting trends listed below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for Round 9 would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Liam Duggan (West Coast) has had 25+ disposals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65% of the time). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.89 (53% implied probability).
Harry Sheezel (North Melbourne) has had 30+ disposals in 11 of his last 18 matches (61%). You can bet on him to have 30+ again at $2.12 (47%).
Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) has had 25+ disposals in 14 of his last 17 matches (82%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.53 (65%).
Bailey Scott (North Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 15 of his last 19 matches (79%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.63 (61%).
Dion Prestia (Richmond) has had 20+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.84 (54%).
Josh Kelly (GWS Giants) has had 20+ disposals in 18 of his last 18 matches (100%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.17 (85%).
Lachie Ash (GWS Giants) has had 20+ disposals in 15 of his last 20 matches (75%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.60 (62%).
Dyson Heppell (Essendon) has had 20+ disposals in 15 of his last 20 matches (75%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.60 (62%).
Stephen Coniglio (GWS Giants) has had 25+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.49 (67%).
Tom Green (GWS Giants) has had 30+ disposals in 14 of his last 20 matches (70%). You can bet on him to have 30+ again at $1.85 (54%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their Round 9 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) has had 25+ disposals in 5 of his last 10 matches against West Coast (50% of the time). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $6.75 (15% implied probability).
Jy Simpkin (North Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 6 of his last 10 matches against Gold Coast (60%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $3.80 (26%).
David Swallow (Gold Coast) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against North Melbourne (70%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $4.80 (21%).
Jack Macrae (Western Bulldogs) has had 30+ disposals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Richmond (67%). You can bet on him to have 30+ against them again at $4.60 (22%).
Sebastian Ross (St Kilda) has had 25+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Hawthorn (80%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $2.60 (38%).
Michael Walters (Fremantle) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Sydney (56%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $4.50 (22%).
Jake Lloyd (Sydney) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Fremantle (70%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $3.20 (31%).
Aliir Aliir (Port Adelaide) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 10 matches against Geelong (70%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.85 (35%).
Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port Adelaide) has had 15+ disposals in 8 of his last 10 matches against Geelong (80%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.20 (45%).
Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) has had 25+ disposals in 6 of his last 10 matches against Geelong (60%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $7.25 (14%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for Round 9 would suggest.

Taylor Walker (Adelaide) has kicked 2+ goals in 17 of his last 20 matches (85% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.62 (62% implied probability).
Jy Simpkin (North Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 18 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.00 (33%).
Jaidyn Stephenson (North Melbourne) has kicked 2+ goals in 6 of his last 20 matches (30%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $6.25 (16%).
Nick Larkey (North Melbourne) has kicked 2+ goals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.61 (62%).
Peter Wright (Essendon) has kicked 2+ goals in 14 of his last 20 matches (70%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.74 (57%).
Kyle Langford (Essendon) has kicked 3+ goals in 11 of his last 20 matches (55%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $2.40 (42%).
Jake Riccardi (GWS Giants) has kicked 3+ goals in 8 of his last 20 matches (40%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $4.90 (20%).
Isaac Heeney (Sydney) has kicked 2+ goals in 11 of his last 19 matches (58%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $2.40 (42%).
Errol Gulden (Sydney) has kicked 2+ goals in 7 of his last 20 matches (35%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $5.40 (19%).
Justin McInerney (Sydney) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 20 matches (45%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $3.50 (29%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their Round 9 opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Dayne Zorko (Brisbane) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 8 matches against Adelaide (75% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.05 (49% implied probability).
Dom Sheed (West Coast) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (60%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.60 (28%).
Jack Darling (West Coast) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 10 matches against Collingwood (100%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.28 (78%).
Todd Goldstein () has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 8 matches against (62%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $4.10 (24%).
Stephen Coniglio (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Essendon (88%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.50 (40%).
Tom Papley (Sydney) has kicked 2+ goals in 6 of his last 9 matches against Fremantle (67%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $2.12 (47%).
Ed Langdon (Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Carlton (56%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.95 (34%).
Alex Neal-Bullen (Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Carlton (78%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.89 (53%).
Mason Cox (Collingwood) has kicked 2+ goals in 5 of his last 7 matches against West Coast (71%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $2.75 (36%).
Liam Shiels (North Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 8 matches against Gold Coast (50%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $3.75 (27%).

AFL Round 9 Games to Bet On

Round 9 features nine games, starting with Carlton vs Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday and concluding with Adelaide vs Brisbane at Adelaide Oval on Sunday.

Carlton vs Melbourne (Thursday, 7:30pm)
Geelong vs Port Adelaide (Friday, 7:10pm)
Fremantle vs Sydney (Friday, 8:20pm)
Hawthorn vs St Kilda (Saturday, 1:45pm)
Essendon vs GWS (Saturday, 4:35pm)
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs (Saturday, 7:30pm)
Gold Coast vs North Melbourne (Saturday, 7:30pm)
Collingwood vs West Coast (Sunday, 1:00pm)
Adelaide vs Brisbane (Sunday, 4:00pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Predictions This Week

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Since quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been altered to reflect the full length of a game.

If you choose to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.