AFL Betting Trends, Players and Odds to Watch - Semi-Finals, 2023

Last updated: Sep 12, 2023, 7:39PM | Published: Sep 12, 2023, 5:40AM

Semi-final weekend of the 2023 AFL season has arrived, and with these player betting trends, you can get the upper hand when placing bets on this week's games.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL predictions and betting tips, Stats Insider is here to help with the best AFL betting trends for each game across the semi-finals.

Our AFL betting trends show which players are hitting a certain line more often than their betting odds would suggest, with disposal and goal trends included below.

Players such as Isaac Cumming, Dan Houston, and Toby Greene are among those featured in this week's highlighted trends from semi-finals action.

AFL Betting Trends Semi-Finals, 2023

Use the betting trends listed below, along with our AFL predictions, to build the ultimate footy multi for this weekend.

Recent Disposal Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently had a certain number of disposals more often than their odds for their semi-final clash would suggest.

We highly recommend betting on AFL disposal and goal markets at Betfair, which has a huge range of betting options to choose from.

Isaac Cumming (GWS Giants) has had 20+ disposals in 8 of his last 20 matches (40% of the time). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $3.30 (30% implied probability).
Dan Houston (Port Adelaide) has had 25+ disposals in 11 of his last 17 matches (65%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.98 (51%).
Josh Kelly (GWS Giants) has had 25+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.44 (69%).
Harry Perryman (GWS Giants) has had 15+ disposals in 18 of his last 19 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.23 (81%).
Connor Rozee (Port Adelaide) has had 25+ disposals in 14 of his last 17 matches (82%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.37 (73%).
Tom Green (GWS Giants) has had 25+ disposals in 19 of his last 20 matches (95%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.15 (87%).
Lachie Ash (GWS Giants) has had 20+ disposals in 17 of his last 19 matches (89%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.22 (82%).
Jack Viney (Melbourne) has had 25+ disposals in 11 of his last 12 matches (92%). You can bet on him to have 25+ again at $1.42 (70%).
Lachie Hunter (Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 16 of his last 20 matches (80%). You can bet on him to have 20+ again at $1.40 (71%).
Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) has had 15+ disposals in 11 of his last 14 matches (79%). You can bet on him to have 15+ again at $1.49 (67%).

Opponent Disposal Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have had a certain number of disposals in recent games against their semi-finals opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port Adelaide) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against GWS Giants (78% of the time). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $2.35 (43% implied probability).
Sam Docherty (Carlton) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 8 matches against Melbourne (88%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.88 (53%).
Toby Greene (GWS Giants) has had 25+ disposals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Port Adelaide (56%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $6.25 (16%).
Patrick Cripps (Carlton) has had 25+ disposals in 7 of his last 9 matches against Melbourne (78%). You can bet on him to have 25+ against them again at $1.72 (58%).
Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide) has had 20+ disposals in 7 of his last 8 matches against GWS Giants (88%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.51 (66%).
Aliir Aliir (Port Adelaide) has had 15+ disposals in 5 of his last 8 matches against GWS Giants (62%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $3.00 (33%).
Steven May (Melbourne) has had 15+ disposals in 7 of his last 7 matches against Carlton (100%). You can bet on him to have 15+ against them again at $1.35 (74%).
Ed Langdon (Melbourne) has had 20+ disposals in 6 of his last 7 matches against Carlton (86%). You can bet on him to have 20+ against them again at $1.70 (59%).

Recent Goal Kicking Trends

The following trends show the AFL players who have recently kicked a certain number of goals more often than their odds for their semi-final clash would suggest.

Toby Greene (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 17 of his last 19 matches (89% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.34 (75% implied probability).
Kade Chandler (Melbourne) has kicked 3+ goals in 5 of his last 20 matches (25%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $9.75 (10%).
Jesse Motlop (Carlton) has kicked 2+ goals in 10 of his last 20 matches (50%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $3.00 (33%).
Bayley Fritsch (Melbourne) has kicked 2+ goals in 16 of his last 19 matches (84%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.47 (68%).
Jason Horne-Francis (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 15 matches (67%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.85 (54%).
Jake Riccardi (GWS Giants) has kicked 3+ goals in 7 of his last 18 matches (39%). You can bet on him to kick 3+ again at $4.25 (24%).
Jesse Hogan (GWS Giants) has kicked 2+ goals in 13 of his last 20 matches (65%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ again at $1.73 (58%).
Tom McDonald (Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 15 of his last 18 matches (83%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $1.34 (75%).
Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) has kicked 1+ goals in 9 of his last 15 matches (60%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.05 (49%).
Daniel Lloyd (GWS Giants) has kicked 1+ goals in 10 of his last 17 matches (59%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ again at $2.03 (49%).

Opponent Goal Kicking Trends

These trends show the AFL players who have kicked a certain number of goals in recent games against their semi-finals opponent, which is more often than their odds for this week would suggest.

Christian Petracca (Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 6 of his last 7 matches against Carlton (86% of the time). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $1.38 (72% implied probability).
Max Gawn (Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 5 of his last 9 matches against Carlton (56%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $2.20 (45%).
Ed Langdon (Melbourne) has kicked 1+ goals in 4 of his last 9 matches against Carlton (44%). You can bet on him to kick 1+ against them again at $4.25 (24%).
Tom McDonald (Melbourne) has kicked 2+ goals in 4 of his last 7 matches against Carlton (57%). You can bet on him to kick 2+ against them again at $2.75 (36%).

AFL Semi-Finals Games to Bet On

Melbourne vs Carlton (Friday, 7:50pm)
Port Adelaide vs GWS (Saturday, 7:40pm)

All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Related: AFL Tips and Predictions

All of the AFL trends in this article are based on past performance and do not necessarily predict future performance.

All odds listed are correct at the time of publication from selected bookmakers and are subject to change.

Because quarters were shorter in 2020, all player data from that year has been altered to reflect the full length of a game.

If you want to use our AFL betting trends to place bets, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

As well as being the best resource for AFL betting trends, Stats Insider is also your home for the latest AFL player ratings, our AFL Brownlow predictor, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL premiership odds.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.