AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 17, 2024
Last updated: Jul 4, 2024, 7:20AM | Published: Jul 2, 2024, 2:15PM
Looking for data-driven AFL tips for Round 17? We have AFL Round 17 tips 2024 for every game this week.
Gain an edge in your AFL tipping competitions with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 17 of the 2024 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL game 10,000 times.
AFL Round 17 Expert Tips 2024
Round 17 of the AFL season features nine games, beginning with Collingwood vs Essendon on Friday and finishing with Brisbane vs Adelaide on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 17 2024 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters.
AFL Tips Round 17 2024: Who Will Win
Listed below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 17, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Collingwood vs Essendon
Round 17 action kicks off with Collingwood facing Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday. Our AFL model projects Collingwood as having a 59% chance of winning, while Essendon has a 41% projected win chance.
Collingwood vs Essendon is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, July 5 at 7:40pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast
In this week's game between North Melbourne and Gold Coast, the Suns are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 73% chance for Gold Coast. On the other hand, North Melbourne has a 27% chance of pulling off an upset win.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 6 at 1:45pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Tips
Port Adelaide vs Gold Coast
We are tipping the Western Bulldogs to win their game against Port Adelaide this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 59% win probability for the Western Bulldogs. Port Adelaide has a 41% chance of winning.
Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, July 6 at 1:45pm.
Geelong vs Hawthorn
With a win probability of 64% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this match is Geelong, while its opponent, Hawthorn, has a projected win chance of 36%.
Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $1.64, with Hawthorn available at $2.52.
Geelong vs Hawthorn is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, July 6 at 4:35pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
GWS vs Carlton
The Blues have a 53% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to GWS' 47% chance of victory. This makes Carlton the team to tip at Giants Stadium.
GWS vs Carlton is at Giants Stadium on Saturday, July 6 at 7:30pm.
Fremantle vs Richmond
Fremantle is favoured to win this one, with our model giving them a 92% chance, while Richmond enters the weekend with an 8% chance of causing an upset at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle vs Richmond is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, July 6 at 8:10pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Melbourne vs West Coast
According to our predictive analytics model, Melbourne is the team to beat in this game, with the Demons' win probability at 83%. West Coast, on the other hand, has a 17% chance of winning.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Demons at $1.04 and the Eagles at $6.40.
Melbourne vs West Coast is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, July 7 at 1:10pm.
St Kilda vs Sydney
We are tipping the Swans in this game, with Sydney given a 72% chance of winning, while St Kilda has a 28% chance of an upset win.
St Kilda vs Sydney is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, July 7 at 3:20pm.
Brisbane vs Adelaide
The last game of Round 17 sees Brisbane take on Adelaide at The Gabba. The current Betfair odds have the Lions at $1.25 and the Crows at $4.20.
We are tipping Brisbane with a win probability of 80%, while Adelaide is projected to have a win chance of 20%.
Brisbane vs Adelaide is at The Gabba on Sunday, July 7 at 4:10pm.
AFL Tipping Round 17 2024: Who to Tip
- Collingwood
- Gold Coast
- Bulldogs
- Geelong
- Carlton
- Fremantle
- Melbourne
- Sydney
- Brisbane
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 17 Games to Tip On
- Collingwood Magpies vs Essendon Bombers
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns
- Port Adelaide Power vs Western Bulldogs
- Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks
- GWS Giants vs Carlton Blues
- Fremantle Dockers vs Richmond Tigers
- Melbourne Demons vs West Coast Eagles
- St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans
- Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows
The AFL footy tips Round 17 2024 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2024 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our footy tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
As well as being your expert resource for AFL footy tips, Stats Insider is your go-to site for AFL betting insights and analysis, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL match, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL 2024 premiership odds.
